investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Creative Realities, Inc. (CREX)

Previous Close$3.33
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$3.33

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Creative Realities, Inc. operates in the digital signage and interactive technology sector, providing solutions that enhance customer engagement for retail, hospitality, and corporate clients. The company generates revenue through hardware sales, software licensing, and managed services, leveraging its proprietary platforms to deliver dynamic content and analytics. Positioned as a niche player, CREX competes with larger technology providers by focusing on tailored, high-touch implementations and recurring service revenue. Its market differentiation stems from integrated solutions that combine display hardware, content management, and data-driven insights, catering to industries prioritizing in-store digital experiences. The company’s growth is tied to broader adoption of digital signage, though it faces challenges scaling against entrenched competitors with greater resources.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Creative Realities reported $50.9 million in revenue for the period, reflecting its ability to secure mid-market contracts despite a net loss of $3.5 million. Operating cash flow of $3.4 million suggests some operational efficiency, though profitability remains pressured by debt servicing costs and competitive pricing. Capital expenditures were minimal ($11,000), indicating a asset-light model reliant on third-party hardware and software partnerships.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of -$0.34 underscores ongoing earnings challenges, likely due to high operating leverage and interest expenses from its $13.9 million debt load. Positive operating cash flow hints at underlying cash generation potential, but capital efficiency is constrained by thin margins and reinvestment needs to maintain technological relevance in a fast-evolving sector.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

With $1.0 million in cash and equivalents against $13.9 million in total debt, CREX’s liquidity position is tight, necessitating careful working capital management. The balance sheet reflects a leveraged structure common in growth-focused tech SMEs, though refinancing risks may arise if profitability does not improve. Absence of dividends aligns with reinvestment priorities.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Top-line growth will hinge on expanding service offerings and cross-selling to existing clients, as hardware sales face margin pressures. No dividend policy is in place, consistent with the company’s focus on funding organic growth and debt reduction. Market trends favor digital signage adoption, but CREX must demonstrate scalability to capitalize on sector tailwinds.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices CREX as a speculative growth story, with valuation metrics reflecting both sector potential and execution risks. Negative earnings and high leverage suggest investors prioritize revenue trajectory and future margin expansion over near-term profitability. Comparable analysis would require benchmarking against smaller, niche-focused digital signage providers.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

CREX’s integrated solutions and vertical expertise provide a defensible niche, but long-term success depends on improving margins and reducing debt dependency. Strategic partnerships or M&A could accelerate scale, while organic growth requires disciplined cost management. The outlook remains cautiously optimistic, contingent on leveraging industry trends without overextending financially.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001356093), disclosed financials for FY ending 2024-12-31

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount