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Intrinsic ValueCleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CVA.DE)

Previous Close10.57
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
10.57

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. operates as a key player in the industrial materials sector, specializing in iron ore mining and pellet production. The company serves the North American steel industry, supplying integrated steel producers in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico. With four operational mines and one idled facility, it maintains a vertically integrated model, ensuring control over raw material supply and cost efficiency. Its market position is bolstered by long-term contracts with major steelmakers, providing stable revenue streams. The firm’s focus on high-quality iron ore pellets enhances its competitive edge in a capital-intensive industry. As a domestic supplier, it benefits from regional demand and logistical advantages, though it remains exposed to cyclical steel industry trends and commodity price volatility.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2022, Cleveland-Cliffs reported revenue of €22.99 billion, with net income of €1.34 billion, reflecting robust profitability. Diluted EPS stood at €2.55, supported by strong pricing and operational execution. Operating cash flow reached €2.42 billion, though capital expenditures of €943 million indicate significant reinvestment needs. The company’s ability to generate cash amid high capex underscores its operational efficiency.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The firm’s earnings power is evident in its €1.34 billion net income, driven by favorable iron ore demand and pricing. Capital efficiency is tempered by substantial capex, but operating cash flow coverage suggests disciplined financial management. With no dividend payouts, retained earnings are likely directed toward debt reduction or growth initiatives.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Cleveland-Cliffs holds €26 million in cash, with total debt of €4.25 billion, indicating a leveraged position. However, strong cash flow generation provides liquidity to service obligations. The balance sheet reflects typical heavy-industry leverage, but the absence of dividends may aid deleveraging over time.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth is tied to steel industry cycles, with no recent dividend distributions. The company prioritizes reinvestment and debt management over shareholder payouts, aligning with its capital-intensive business model. Future growth may hinge on steel demand recovery and operational scalability.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €5.34 billion, the stock trades at a moderate valuation relative to earnings. Investors likely price in cyclical risks and leverage, though stable cash flows could support upside if commodity markets remain favorable.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Cleveland-Cliffs benefits from its integrated supply chain and regional market dominance. However, exposure to steel industry volatility and high debt levels pose risks. Strategic focus on cost control and contract stability will be critical to navigating macroeconomic uncertainties.

Sources

Company filings, market data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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