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Intrinsic Value of Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ)

Previous Close$452.18
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$452.18

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a global leader in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) industry, specializing in pizza delivery and carryout. The company generates revenue primarily through franchise royalties, supply chain sales, and corporate store operations. Its vertically integrated supply chain ensures consistent quality and cost efficiency, serving franchisees worldwide. Domino's has a strong digital presence, with over 70% of orders placed online, reinforcing its tech-driven competitive edge. The brand maintains a dominant market position in pizza delivery, leveraging its extensive franchise network of over 20,000 stores across 90+ countries. Its asset-light model, emphasizing franchising, allows for scalable growth with minimal capital intensity. Domino's focuses on innovation, including autonomous delivery trials and AI-driven customer engagement, to sustain its leadership in a highly competitive sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Domino's reported revenue of $4.71 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $584.2 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 12.4%. The company's operating cash flow stood at $624.9 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures were modest at $112.9 million, underscoring its asset-light franchise model. Diluted EPS reached $16.76, demonstrating robust profitability despite inflationary pressures in the QSR sector.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Domino's exhibits strong earnings power, driven by high-margin franchise royalties and supply chain operations. The company's capital efficiency is evident in its low capex requirements relative to revenue, enabling consistent free cash flow generation. Its return on invested capital (ROIC) remains industry-leading, supported by scalable franchising and operational leverage. The firm’s focus on digital integration further enhances margins by reducing order processing costs.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Domino's holds $186.1 million in cash and equivalents, against total debt of $5.20 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The debt is primarily used to fund share repurchases and dividends, aligning with its shareholder-friendly capital allocation. The company’s stable cash flow generation supports its debt servicing capacity, though interest coverage metrics warrant monitoring given rising rates.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Domino's has consistently grown its global store count, with a focus on international expansion. Same-store sales growth remains a key metric, supported by menu innovation and digital adoption. The company pays a dividend of $6.05 per share, yielding approximately 1.2%, complemented by aggressive share buybacks. Its balanced capital return strategy aligns with long-term value creation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Domino's trades at a premium valuation relative to peers, reflecting its market leadership and growth prospects. Investors price in sustained mid-single-digit revenue growth and margin stability, driven by franchise expansion and digital efficiency. The stock’s multiple assumes continued execution in a competitive QSR landscape, with upside tied to international penetration.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Domino's benefits from brand loyalty, technological innovation, and a scalable franchise model. Near-term challenges include commodity inflation and labor costs, but its pricing power and supply chain resilience mitigate risks. Long-term growth hinges on international unit expansion and tech-driven operational enhancements, positioning Domino's for sustained outperformance in the QSR sector.

Sources

10-K (CIK: 0001286681), Investor Presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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