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Intrinsic Value of Darden Restaurants, Inc. (DRI)

Previous Close$220.27
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$220.27

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Darden Restaurants, Inc. operates as a leading full-service dining company in the U.S., with a portfolio of well-known brands including Olive Garden, LongHorn Steakhouse, and The Capital Grille. The company generates revenue primarily through restaurant sales, leveraging a mix of casual and fine-dining concepts to cater to diverse consumer preferences. Its scale and operational efficiency allow it to maintain competitive pricing while delivering consistent quality, reinforcing its market leadership in the fragmented restaurant industry. Darden’s multi-brand strategy mitigates reliance on any single concept, providing resilience against shifting consumer trends. The company’s focus on off-premise dining, digital ordering, and loyalty programs aligns with evolving customer behaviors, enhancing its adaptability in a post-pandemic landscape. With a strong supply chain and centralized procurement, Darden benefits from cost efficiencies that support margin stability. Its disciplined growth strategy targets measured unit expansion and same-restaurant sales growth, balancing organic development with selective acquisitions to sustain long-term market share gains.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Darden reported revenue of $11.39 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $1.03 billion, reflecting a net margin of approximately 9%. Diluted EPS stood at $8.51, demonstrating robust profitability. Operating cash flow of $1.62 billion underscores efficient cash generation, while capital expenditures of $601 million indicate continued investment in restaurant maintenance and growth initiatives. The company’s ability to convert sales into cash flow highlights its operational discipline.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Darden’s earnings power is supported by its diversified brand portfolio and scalable operations. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its revenue base. With a disciplined approach to unit economics and cost management, Darden maintains healthy returns on invested capital, ensuring sustainable earnings growth even in competitive market conditions.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Darden’s balance sheet shows $194.8 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $5.43 billion, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s strong cash flow generation provides ample coverage for debt obligations and dividend payments. Its financial health is further supported by consistent profitability, enabling it to fund growth while maintaining shareholder returns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Darden has demonstrated steady growth through a combination of same-restaurant sales increases and strategic unit expansion. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with an annual dividend of $5.24 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital. Future growth is expected to be driven by digital adoption, off-premise dining, and selective market penetration, balanced with prudent capital allocation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Darden’s valuation reflects its stable earnings trajectory and market leadership in the full-service dining sector. Investors likely price in expectations of moderate growth, supported by the company’s ability to navigate inflationary pressures and shifting consumer preferences. The stock’s performance will hinge on execution of its multi-brand strategy and margin preservation in a competitive environment.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Darden’s strategic advantages include its diversified brand portfolio, operational scale, and strong supply chain. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on industry recovery and digital transformation trends. Looking ahead, Darden’s focus on innovation, cost efficiency, and disciplined growth should sustain its competitive edge, though macroeconomic headwinds and labor costs remain key monitorables.

Sources

10-K filing for FY 2024, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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