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Intrinsic Value of Ecopetrol S.A. (EC)

Previous Close$9.84
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$9.84

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %47.0NaN
Revenue, $175572NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m109319NaN
Operating income, $m66253NaN
EBITDA, $m79595NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m55626NaN
Tax expense, $m20860NaN
Net income, $m34765NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m18220NaN
Total assets, $m333072NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m314852NaN
Average production assets, $m140148NaN
Working capital, $m22544NaN
Total debt, $m126648NaN
Total liabilities, $m207778NaN
Total equity, $m125293NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio1.011NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.418NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m34765NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m13342NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m39858NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-22392NaN
Free cash flow, $m62250NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m22544
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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