Price · as of 2024-12-31
$13.92
Market cap 24.44B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $0.00 | -100% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $9.05 | -34.99% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | — | — |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $2.80 | -79.89% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | $13.45 | $18.75 | $80.86 | $1.60 | $46.30 |
| 2011 | $19.43 | $28.93 | $480.98 | $5.00 | $121.80 |
| 2012 | $19.97 | $32.20 | $128.15 | $1.30 | $22.70 |
| 2013 | $13.31 | $34.50 | $29.52 | $0.00 | $16.70 |
| 2014 | $5.65 | $31.70 | $2.92 | $0.00 | $1.30 |
| 2015 | $3.71 | $16.50 | $0.60 | $0.00 | $10.40 |
| 2016 | $3.82 | $8.78 | $2.57 | $3.50 | $0.30 |
| 2017 | $7.72 | $11.57 | $3.68 | $7.30 | $20.50 |
| 2018 | $8.97 | $22.03 | $19.61 | $5.00 | $42.20 |
| 2019 | $8.21 | $30.30 | $24.38 | $0.00 | $20.80 |
| 2020 | $7.26 | $18.72 | $1.68 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2021 | $9.82 | $19.70 | $155.89 | $12.10 | $170.80 |
| 2022 | $7.00 | $53.61 | $316.02 | $3.10 | $310.30 |
| 2023 | $8.34 | $25.16 | $139.79 | $12.70 | $0.00 |
| 2024 | $8.95 | $50.43 | $80.41 | $0.00 | $2.80 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates Ecopetrol S.A.'s (EC) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $0.00
- Current price
- $13.92
- AI upside
- -100%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$9.05
-34.99% upside
Graham-Dodd
—
— upside
Graham Formula
$2.80
-79.89% upside
Peer comparison
Same-industry comparables, ranked by market cap.
| Basic Info | Model Valuation | Core Valuation | Profitability | Leverage & Liquidity | Growth | Cash Flow | Dividends | Enterprise Value | Risk | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ticker | Company Name | Price | Market Cap | AI Upside | DCF Upside | GD Upside | GF Upside | P/E | P/B | P/S | EV/EBITDA | PEG | P/TBV | Gross Margin | Operating Margin | Net Margin | ROE | ROIC | ROA | Debt/Equity | Interest Coverage | Current Ratio | Quick Ratio | Net Debt/EBITDA | EPS Growth | Sales Growth | FCF Growth | FCF Yield | Op Cash Flow Ratio | Cash ROIC | Dividend Yield | Dividend Payout | Shareholder Yield | EV/EBIT | EV/FCF | EV/Sales | Altman Z-Score |
| EC | Ecopetrol S.A. | $13.92 | 24.44B | +262% | -35% | — | -80% | 4.45 | 0.86 | 0.54 | 3.17 | — | 1.15 | 35.14% | 28.85% | 10.38% | 19.90% | 12.92% | 5.53% | 1.43 | 4.53 | 1.53 | 0.86 | 1.90 | -2740.00% | -689.00% | 46397.00% | 45.34% | 1.08 | 18.14% | 23.42% | 104.20% | 23.47% | 4.60 | 5.43 | 1.33 | 1.36 |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy Inc. | $30.59 | 23.29B | +12% | -29% | -33% | — | 13.97 | 1.40 | 8.72 | 4.98 | 28.50 | 1.40 | 60.41% | 89.13% | 62.41% | 11.34% | 11.56% | 7.84% | 0.01 | 11.96 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 4901.00% | -4962.00% | 29268.00% | 16.77% | 3.08 | 24.99% | 2.84% | 39.70% | 10.22% | 9.83 | 6.00 | 8.77 | 3.30 |
| DVN | Devon Energy Corporation | $43.53 | 27B | +55% | -37% | -32% | +71% | 10.53 | 1.82 | 1.65 | 4.79 | — | 1.91 | 24.71% | 22.04% | 15.43% | 17.86% | 12.77% | 8.64% | 0.57 | 7.39 | 0.98 | 0.79 | 0.99 | -810.00% | 1001.00% | -46565.00% | 11.05% | 1.64 | 13.64% | 2.19% | 23.10% | 9.48% | 9.42 | 11.41 | 2.08 | 2.44 |
| FTI | TechnipFMC plc | $66.31 | 27.25B | -24% | -38% | -75% | -41% | 29.24 | 8.41 | 2.85 | 19.79 | 143.22 | 9.63 | 17.35% | 9.63% | 9.70% | 29.95% | 23.75% | 9.68% | 0.60 | 9.87 | 1.13 | 0.76 | 0.67 | 2042.00% | 937.00% | 11304.00% | 5.12% | 0.36 | 35.92% | 0.29% | 8.50% | 3.54% | 30.57 | 20.21 | 2.95 | 3.38 |
| HAL | Halliburton Company | $36.00 | 30.3B | -14% | -60% | -83% | -79% | 23.36 | 2.88 | 1.36 | 11.89 | — | 4.01 | 15.76% | 11.95% | 5.78% | 12.32% | 11.71% | 5.11% | 0.78 | 6.34 | 2.04 | 1.28 | 1.95 | -4700.00% | -331.00% | -3099.00% | 5.54% | 0.52 | 10.12% | 1.92% | 44.80% | 6.01% | 13.61 | 21.59 | 1.63 | 3.61 |
| PBA | Pembina Pipeline Corporat… | $43.99 | 25.56B | -18% | -50% | — | -42% | 23.63 | 2.39 | 5.15 | 16.67 | — | 3.84 | 38.36% | 36.11% | 21.78% | 9.88% | 7.11% | 4.74% | 0.79 | 4.79 | 0.61 | 0.46 | 4.13 | -1133.00% | 534.00% | 1018.00% | 6.22% | 1.60 | 8.21% | 4.43% | 104.60% | 4.43% | 18.95 | 21.39 | 6.84 | 1.73 |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land Corpor… | $524.29 | 36.15B | -46% | -59% | -95% | -73% | 76.07 | 25.10 | 45.88 | 55.70 | 1260.37 | 25.68 | 100.00% | 74.19% | 60.31% | 37.15% | 44.28% | 33.53% | 0.02 | — | 4.40 | 4.27 | -0.17 | 604.00% | 1309.00% | 551.00% | 1.33% | 7.52 | 46.11% | 0.40% | 30.70% | 0.47% | 61.65 | 75.06 | 45.74 | 136.92 |
| TS | Tenaris S.A. | $54.40 | 29.19B | -21% | -60% | -55% | -73% | 14.68 | 1.71 | 2.37 | 8.95 | — | 1.86 | 34.39% | 19.06% | 16.13% | 11.65% | 12.87% | 9.54% | 0.03 | 48.50 | 3.87 | 2.06 | -0.04 | -4862.00% | -433.00% | -830.00% | 6.99% | 1.11 | 14.01% | 3.17% | 46.60% | 8.08% | 11.36 | 13.09 | 2.17 | 6.62 |
| VG | Venture Global, Inc. | $9.69 | 23.73B | +192% | -62% | -64% | — | 12.70 | 7.66 | 4.46 | 15.66 | — | 7.66 | 66.35% | 35.46% | 31.03% | 79.24% | 6.01% | 4.85% | 10.29 | 3.02 | 1.29 | 1.12 | 8.48 | -4135.00% | -3704.00% | 22669.00% | -52.16% | 0.61 | -49.27% | 0.63% | 8.00% | 0.63% | 27.44 | -4.18 | 9.73 | 0.72 |
| WES | Western Midstream Partner… | $41.59 | 16.97B | -16% | -37% | — | +1% | 13.87 | 4.19 | 4.39 | 10.84 | — | 6.12 | 68.46% | 41.26% | 30.43% | 33.50% | 13.97% | 8.64% | 2.22 | 4.06 | 1.34 | 1.30 | 3.52 | -2537.00% | 661.00% | 1489.00% | 8.69% | 1.77 | 13.07% | 8.49% | 117.70% | 8.49% | 15.75 | 17.05 | 6.50 | 1.57 |
| YPF | YPF Sociedad Anónima | $35.39 | 13.89B | -6% | +59,622% | +22% | +2,429% | 7270.80 | 1.45 | 0.97 | 6.62 | — | 1.50 | 27.63% | 6.47% | 11.61% | 0.03% | 2.87% | 0.01% | 0.83 | 1.43 | 0.78 | 0.41 | 2.26 | -35671.00% | 22628.00% | -10630.00% | 0.00% | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 22.31 | 54137.10 | 1.44 | 1.56 |
About Ecopetrol S.A.
Ecopetrol S.A. operates as an integrated energy company. The company operates through four segments: Exploration and Production; Transport and Logistics; Refining, Petrochemical and Biofuels; and Electric Power Transmission and Toll Roads Concessions. It engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas; transportation of crude oil, motor fuels, fuel oil, and other refined products, including diesel, jet, and biofuels; processing and refining crude oil; distribution of natural gas and LPG; sale of refined and petrochemical products; supplying of electric power transmission services; design, development, construction, operation, and maintenance of road and energy infrastructure projects; and supplying of information technology and telecommunications services. As of December 31, 2021, the company had approximately 9,127 kilometers of crude oil and multi-purpose pipelines. It also produces and commercializes polypropylene resins and compounds, and masterbatches; and offers industrial service sales to customers and specialized management services. It has operations in Colombia, the United States, Asia, Central America and the Caribbean, Europe, South America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos and changed its name to Ecopetrol S.A. in June 2003. Ecopetrol S.A. was incorporated in 1948 and is based in Bogotá, Colombia.
- CEO
- Ricardo Roa Barragan
- Employees
- 18.9K
- Beta
- 0.30
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($9.05 ÷ $13.92) − 1 = -34.99% (DCF, example).