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Intrinsic Value of Equifax Inc. (EFX)

Previous Close$261.81
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$261.81

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Equifax Inc. operates as a global data, analytics, and technology company specializing in credit reporting, risk assessment, and workforce solutions. The company generates revenue primarily through subscription-based services, transactional fees, and data-driven insights for businesses and consumers. Its core offerings include credit scores, identity verification, fraud detection, and employment background checks, serving financial institutions, employers, and government agencies. Equifax holds a dominant position in the credit bureau industry alongside Experian and TransUnion, leveraging its vast proprietary datasets and advanced analytics to maintain competitive differentiation. The company’s diversified revenue streams and international expansion, particularly in high-growth markets like Latin America and Asia-Pacific, reinforce its resilience against economic cycles. Equifax’s strategic investments in cloud-based platforms and AI-driven decisioning tools further enhance its ability to deliver scalable, real-time solutions, solidifying its role as a critical infrastructure provider in the financial ecosystem.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Equifax reported $5.68 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $604.1 million, reflecting a 10.6% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $4.84, supported by disciplined cost management and operational leverage. Operating cash flow of $1.32 billion underscores strong cash conversion, though capital expenditures of $511.5 million indicate ongoing investments in technology and data infrastructure to sustain long-term growth.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by high-margin recurring revenue streams, particularly in its Workforce Solutions and U.S. Information Solutions segments. ROIC metrics are bolstered by efficient capital deployment, with strategic acquisitions and R&D spend aimed at enhancing data monetization capabilities. Free cash flow generation remains robust, enabling debt servicing and shareholder returns without compromising growth initiatives.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Equifax maintains a leveraged balance sheet with total debt of $5.01 billion against cash reserves of $169.9 million, reflecting its acquisitive strategy. The debt-to-EBITDA ratio, while elevated, is manageable given stable cash flows. Liquidity is supported by undrawn credit facilities, and the company has demonstrated consistent access to capital markets for refinancing and strategic flexibility.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, fueled by demand for data-driven decision tools and international expansion. The dividend payout ratio remains conservative at 32% of net income, with a $1.56 annual dividend per share, signaling a commitment to returning capital while retaining flexibility for M&A and organic investments. Share buybacks are opportunistic, aligned with cash flow generation and valuation metrics.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market prices EFX at a premium to peers, reflecting its entrenched market position and growth potential in analytics. Forward P/E multiples suggest expectations of mid-single-digit earnings growth, with upside tied to execution in high-margin verticals like mortgage and employer services. Investor focus remains on margin expansion and the scalability of cloud-based platforms.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Equifax’s competitive moat lies in its proprietary data assets, regulatory barriers to entry, and technological edge in predictive analytics. Near-term headwinds include macroeconomic sensitivity in credit demand, but long-term tailwinds from digital transformation and AI adoption are compelling. Management’s focus on vertical integration and cross-selling opportunities positions the company for sustained above-market growth.

Sources

10-K (CIK: 0000033185), Company Investor Relations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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