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Intrinsic Value of Edison International (EIX)

Previous Close$50.96
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$50.96

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Edison International operates as a holding company primarily engaged in the electric utility sector through its subsidiary Southern California Edison (SCE), one of the largest regulated electric utilities in the U.S. The company generates revenue primarily through regulated rate-based operations, delivering electricity to approximately 15 million people across Southern California. Its business model is anchored in stable, long-term regulatory frameworks that ensure predictable cash flows from transmission, distribution, and generation services. Edison International maintains a strong market position due to its monopoly-like status in its service territory, supported by high barriers to entry and consistent infrastructure investments. The company also participates in renewable energy initiatives, aligning with California’s aggressive decarbonization goals, which further solidifies its role as a critical player in the state’s energy transition. While its operations are geographically concentrated, this focus allows for deep regulatory expertise and operational efficiency within a high-demand market.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Edison International reported $17.6 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $1.55 billion, translating to diluted EPS of $3.31. Operating cash flow stood at $5.01 billion, reflecting robust cash generation from regulated operations. Capital expenditures of $5.71 billion highlight significant reinvestment in grid modernization and renewable energy infrastructure, consistent with California’s regulatory mandates. The company’s profitability is underpinned by stable rate structures and cost recovery mechanisms.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is driven by its regulated utility operations, which provide consistent returns on invested capital. SCE’s rate base growth and approved ROE ensure steady earnings, though capital efficiency is tempered by high infrastructure spending. Operating cash flow covers capital expenditures, but the heavy investment burden limits free cash flow generation, typical of capital-intensive utilities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Edison International’s balance sheet shows $193 million in cash and equivalents against $37.76 billion in total debt, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of the business. The high debt load is manageable due to predictable cash flows and regulatory support, but it necessitates careful liquidity management. The company’s financial health is stable, with debt levels aligned with industry peers and investment-grade credit ratings.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by rate base expansion and renewable energy investments, aligned with California’s policy goals. The company has a history of steady dividend payments, with a dividend per share of $3.33 in FY 2024, supported by earnings stability. Future dividend growth is likely to mirror regulated earnings growth, though payout ratios remain constrained by capital expenditure demands.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Edison International as a stable, low-growth utility with a premium for its regulatory predictability and exposure to California’s energy transition. Valuation multiples reflect moderate growth expectations, with investor focus on dividend yield and long-term rate base expansion. The stock’s performance is closely tied to regulatory outcomes and interest rate trends.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Edison International’s strategic advantages include its entrenched market position, regulatory expertise, and alignment with decarbonization trends. The outlook remains positive, supported by California’s energy policies and grid investment needs. Risks include regulatory lag and wildfire-related liabilities, though these are partially mitigated by cost recovery mechanisms. The company is well-positioned to benefit from the long-term shift to clean energy.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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