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Intrinsic Value of Fox Corporation (FOXA)

Previous Close$56.25
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$56.25

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Fox Corporation operates as a leading diversified media and entertainment company, primarily focused on news, sports, and entertainment content. Its core revenue streams include advertising, affiliate fees, and subscription services, driven by flagship brands like Fox News, Fox Sports, and the Fox Broadcasting Network. The company holds a dominant position in cable news and sports broadcasting, leveraging its extensive distribution network and high-profile programming to maintain viewer loyalty and market share. Fox’s business model thrives on live event programming, which commands premium advertising rates and reduces vulnerability to streaming disruption. Its strategic focus on conservative-leaning news content has solidified a niche audience, while its sports rights portfolio, including NFL and MLB broadcasts, ensures steady demand. Despite industry shifts toward digital platforms, Fox maintains a strong linear TV presence, supplemented by targeted streaming initiatives like Tubi and Fox Nation. The company’s market position is further reinforced by its ownership of local TV stations, which provide regional reach and political advertising upside during election cycles.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Fox Corporation reported $13.98 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $1.50 billion, reflecting a 10.7% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $3.13, supported by robust operating cash flow of $1.84 billion. Capital expenditures totaled $345 million, indicating disciplined investment in content and technology. The company’s profitability benefits from high-margin affiliate fees and advertising revenue, particularly around live sports and news events.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Fox demonstrates strong earnings power, with operating cash flow covering interest obligations and funding dividends. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to monetize premium content while maintaining moderate capex. Its focus on high-engagement programming, such as NFL games and primetime news, drives consistent cash generation, though reliance on cyclical advertising revenue introduces variability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Fox holds $4.32 billion in cash and equivalents against $8.15 billion in total debt, reflecting a leveraged but manageable position. The debt load is partly offset by strong cash flow, with liquidity sufficient to meet near-term obligations. The balance sheet supports ongoing operations and selective investments, though leverage ratios warrant monitoring given interest rate risks and cyclical ad revenue.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth remains tied to advertising cycles and sports rights renewals, with limited organic expansion beyond inflation-linked affiliate fee hikes. Fox pays a $0.59 annual dividend per share, yielding approximately 1.5%, prioritizing shareholder returns over aggressive reinvestment. The company’s growth strategy emphasizes cost control and opportunistic acquisitions, such as its ad-supported streaming platform Tubi.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple of ~12x based on FY 2024 EPS, Fox is valued in line with traditional media peers. Market expectations reflect skepticism about linear TV’s long-term viability, offset by Fox’s niche strengths in news and sports. Investors price in modest growth, with upside tied to political ad cycles and streaming monetization.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Fox’s competitive edge lies in its must-have live content and loyal audience base, insulating it from cord-cutting to some extent. The outlook is cautiously optimistic, with political advertising and sports rights driving near-term performance. Longer-term challenges include streaming competition and demographic shifts, but Fox’s targeted investments and cost discipline position it to navigate industry headwinds.

Sources

Fox Corporation 10-K (FY 2024), Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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