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Fox Corporation (FOXA)

Previous Close
$56.25
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)72.6429
Intrinsic value (DCF)95.4570
Graham-Dodd Method21.88-61
Graham Formula6.91-88

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Fox Corporation (NASDAQ: FOXA) is a leading U.S.-based media and entertainment company specializing in news, sports, and entertainment content. Operating through its Cable Network Programming, Television, and Other segments, Fox Corporation owns and operates high-profile brands such as FOX News, FOX Business, FS1, FS2, and Tubi, an ad-supported streaming platform. The company's diversified portfolio includes broadcast networks, cable channels, digital platforms, and production studios, positioning it as a key player in the competitive media landscape. With a strong focus on live sports, breaking news, and original programming, Fox Corporation leverages its extensive distribution network across traditional and digital platforms to reach millions of viewers. The company also owns 29 broadcast television stations and the FOX Studios Lot, enhancing its content production capabilities. As a major force in the Communication Services sector, Fox Corporation continues to adapt to evolving consumer preferences while maintaining profitability through advertising, licensing, and subscription revenues.

Investment Summary

Fox Corporation presents a mixed investment case. On the positive side, the company benefits from strong brand recognition in news (FOX News) and sports (FS1, Big Ten Network), along with a growing digital presence through Tubi. Its conservative beta (0.522) suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, and the company generates solid free cash flow ($1.84B operating cash flow in FY 2024). However, risks include high total debt ($8.15B) and exposure to cord-cutting trends affecting traditional cable networks. The company's revenue ($13.98B) and net income ($1.5B) indicate stable performance, but long-term growth depends on successful digital transformation and competition from larger media conglomerates. The dividend yield (~1.5%) is modest, making FOXA more suitable for value-oriented investors seeking media exposure with moderate risk.

Competitive Analysis

Fox Corporation competes in a rapidly evolving media landscape dominated by larger, diversified players. Its key competitive advantage lies in its stronghold in conservative-leaning news (FOX News) and live sports rights (NFL, MLB, Big Ten Conference), which drive consistent viewership and advertising revenue. The company's broadcast network and owned local stations provide additional reach, while Tubi offers a foothold in the fast-growing AVOD (ad-supported video-on-demand) space. However, Fox lacks the scale and direct-to-consumer streaming strength of competitors like Disney or Warner Bros. Discovery. Its reliance on linear TV advertising (~60% of revenue) remains a vulnerability as audiences shift to streaming. Fox's decision to focus on free, ad-supported platforms (Tubi) rather than subscription streaming differentiates it but may limit revenue diversification. The company's sports rights portfolio, while valuable, faces escalating costs and competition from deep-pocketed tech giants like Amazon and Apple. Fox's leaner corporate structure post-2019 Disney asset sale allows for agility but reduces content production scale compared to peers.

Major Competitors

  • The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Disney dominates with ESPN (sports), ABC News, and streaming services (Disney+, Hulu). Its vast content library and vertical integration give it superior scale, but higher debt and streaming losses are concerns. Fox competes effectively in news and regional sports but can't match Disney's global reach.
  • Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD): WBD combines CNN (vs. FOX News), Turner Sports (vs. FS1), and HBO Max (vs. Tubi). Its deeper film/TV library and global streaming presence are strengths, but integration challenges and heavy debt load create vulnerabilities. Fox's focus on free streaming and local broadcasting provides differentiation.
  • Comcast Corporation (CMCSA): Comcast owns NBCUniversal (NBC News, Peacock) and Sky, competing in news and sports. Its broadband infrastructure provides stability, but pay-TV declines hurt. Fox's independence from distribution gives it more content flexibility, while Comcast's scale in broadband offsets media weaknesses.
  • Paramount Global (PARA): Paramount operates CBS News, MTV, and Paramount+, competing in broadcast and streaming. Its film studio and Showtime are strengths, but smaller scale vs. Fox in sports/news and higher streaming investments pressure profitability. Fox's Tubi competes directly with Paramount's Pluto TV in AVOD.
  • News Corp (NWS): News Corp (Fox's sister company) focuses on publishing (WSJ, NY Post) and digital real estate. While not a direct competitor in broadcasting, shared ownership creates synergies in news content. Fox benefits from News Corp's journalism resources but operates independently in entertainment/sports.
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