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Intrinsic Value of First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR)

Previous Close$49.17
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$49.17

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. (FR) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in industrial properties, including warehouses, distribution centers, and light manufacturing facilities. The company operates primarily in key U.S. logistics markets, leveraging high-demand locations near major transportation hubs. Its core revenue model is driven by long-term leases with tenants across e-commerce, third-party logistics, and manufacturing sectors, benefiting from the structural growth in supply chain modernization and e-commerce expansion. FR’s market position is strengthened by its focus on Class A industrial assets, which command premium rents due to their modern specifications and strategic locations. The company’s disciplined development and acquisition strategy ensures a high-quality portfolio, positioning it as a preferred landlord for tenants requiring efficient, scalable logistics solutions. With a diversified tenant base and strong occupancy rates, FR is well-positioned to capitalize on sustained demand for industrial real estate driven by secular trends like just-in-time inventory management and last-mile delivery needs.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, FR reported revenue of $669.6 million and net income of $287.3 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 42.9%. The company’s operating cash flow stood at $352.5 million, underscoring its ability to convert revenue into cash efficiently. With no reported capital expenditures, FR demonstrates disciplined capital allocation, focusing on maintaining high-quality assets without overextending its balance sheet.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

FR’s diluted EPS of $2.17 highlights its earnings power, supported by stable rental income and prudent cost management. The absence of capital expenditures in the period suggests a mature portfolio requiring minimal reinvestment, allowing free cash flow to support shareholder returns. The company’s capital efficiency is further evidenced by its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow relative to its revenue base.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

FR maintains a solid balance sheet with $44.5 million in cash and equivalents, though its total debt of $2.23 billion indicates leverage. The company’s financial health is supported by its stable cash flows and high-quality asset base, which provide ample coverage for debt obligations. Its REIT structure necessitates consistent dividend payouts, but its profitability ensures sustainable distributions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

FR’s growth is tied to the industrial real estate sector’s expansion, driven by e-commerce and supply chain trends. The company paid a dividend of $1.555 per share, reflecting a commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Its ability to grow dividends will depend on rental rate growth and occupancy stability, both of which remain favorable in the current market environment.

Valuation And Market Expectations

FR’s valuation is influenced by its premium industrial portfolio and strong cash flow generation. Market expectations likely center on its ability to maintain high occupancy rates and capitalize on rental growth in key logistics markets. The company’s earnings multiple and dividend yield will be key metrics for investors assessing its relative attractiveness.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

FR’s strategic advantages include its focus on high-demand logistics markets and a disciplined approach to portfolio management. The outlook remains positive, supported by secular demand drivers in industrial real estate. However, macroeconomic factors such as interest rates and supply chain disruptions could pose risks. The company’s ability to navigate these challenges while maintaining profitability will be critical to its long-term success.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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