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Intrinsic Value of Fortis Inc. (FTS)

Previous Close$47.21
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$47.21

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Fortis Inc. is a leading North American utility company, operating in the regulated electric and gas distribution sectors. The company serves over 3.4 million customers across Canada, the U.S., and the Caribbean, with a diversified portfolio of transmission and distribution assets. Its revenue model is anchored in long-term, rate-regulated contracts, ensuring stable cash flows and predictable earnings. Fortis benefits from low demand elasticity, as utilities are essential services, and its geographic diversification mitigates regional risks. The company holds a strong market position, supported by its scale, regulatory frameworks, and strategic infrastructure investments. Fortis focuses on modernizing grids, integrating renewable energy, and maintaining high reliability standards, aligning with broader decarbonization trends. Its disciplined capital allocation and operational efficiency reinforce its reputation as a low-risk, high-quality utility player in a capital-intensive industry.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Fortis reported revenue of $11.5 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $1.68 billion, reflecting a steady performance in its regulated operations. Diluted EPS stood at $3.24, demonstrating consistent profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $3.88 billion, though capital expenditures of $5.01 billion highlight the company's heavy reinvestment needs. The utility's asset-heavy model demands ongoing infrastructure spending, but regulated returns ensure stable margins.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underpinned by its regulated asset base, which generates predictable returns. Fortis maintains disciplined capital allocation, prioritizing rate-base growth and grid modernization. Its capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund large-scale projects while sustaining dividends, though high debt levels ($33.7 billion) necessitate careful liquidity management. Operating cash flow covers interest obligations, supporting investment-grade credit metrics.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Fortis’s balance sheet reflects its capital-intensive nature, with total debt of $33.7 billion and cash reserves of $220 million. The debt load is manageable given the stable cash flows from regulated operations, but leverage remains elevated. The company’s credit profile benefits from its utility-sector resilience, though investors should monitor debt maturities and refinancing risks in a rising-rate environment.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Fortis has a long-term growth strategy centered on rate-base expansion, targeting a 6% annual increase through 2028. The company has a strong dividend track record, with a current payout of $1.72 per share, supported by earnings stability. Dividend growth is expected to align with earnings, offering investors a reliable income stream. Regulatory approvals and execution of capital projects are key to sustaining this trajectory.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Fortis as a low-beta, defensive stock, with its valuation reflecting steady cash flows and dividend reliability. Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $3.24 EPS, the stock appeals to income-focused investors. Expectations are tied to execution of its $25 billion capital plan, which aims to drive future earnings growth without compromising financial flexibility.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Fortis’s strategic advantages include its regulated monopoly positions, geographic diversification, and focus on decarbonization. The outlook remains stable, with growth hinging on regulatory support for infrastructure investments. Risks include interest rate volatility and regulatory delays, but the company’s conservative approach and essential-service profile provide resilience. Long-term investors can expect modest growth and dependable dividends.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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