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Intrinsic Value of Graco Inc. (GGG)

Previous Close$87.16
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$87.16

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Graco Inc. operates as a leading manufacturer of fluid handling systems and components, serving diverse industries such as industrial, contractor, and process markets. The company’s core revenue model is driven by the sale of pumps, sprayers, and other fluid control equipment, with a strong emphasis on precision, durability, and efficiency. Graco’s products are widely used in coatings, adhesives, sealants, and lubricants, positioning it as a critical enabler of industrial productivity and infrastructure development. The company maintains a competitive edge through continuous innovation, proprietary technology, and a global distribution network, ensuring broad market penetration. Its reputation for reliability and performance has solidified its leadership in niche segments, particularly in high-pressure spray equipment and automated dispensing systems. Graco’s market position is further reinforced by its focus on aftermarket services and replacement parts, creating a recurring revenue stream and fostering long-term customer relationships.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Graco reported revenue of $2.11 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $486.1 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 23%. The company’s operating cash flow stood at $621.7 million, underscoring strong cash generation capabilities. Capital expenditures were modest at $106.7 million, indicating efficient reinvestment strategies. These metrics highlight Graco’s ability to convert sales into profits while maintaining disciplined cost management.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Graco’s diluted EPS of $2.82 demonstrates its earnings power, supported by a capital-efficient business model. The company’s high operating cash flow relative to net income suggests effective working capital management. With minimal debt and substantial cash reserves, Graco is well-positioned to fund growth initiatives and return capital to shareholders without compromising financial stability.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Graco’s balance sheet is exceptionally strong, with $675.3 million in cash and equivalents and only $40.8 million in total debt. This conservative leverage profile provides significant financial flexibility. The company’s low debt-to-equity ratio and ample liquidity ensure resilience against economic downturns and enable strategic investments when opportunities arise.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Graco has demonstrated consistent growth, driven by demand for its specialized fluid handling solutions. The company’s dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of $1.06, reflecting a commitment to returning capital while retaining sufficient funds for reinvestment. This balanced approach supports both income-oriented investors and long-term growth objectives.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Graco’s valuation reflects its premium positioning in the industrial equipment sector, with investors likely pricing in its strong profitability, cash flow generation, and growth potential. The market appears to recognize the company’s ability to maintain margins and expand its market share, though macroeconomic factors could influence near-term performance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Graco’s strategic advantages include its technological leadership, global footprint, and strong brand reputation. The outlook remains positive, supported by secular trends in industrial automation and infrastructure development. However, the company must navigate supply chain risks and competitive pressures to sustain its growth trajectory.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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