investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Lazydays Holdings, Inc. (GORV)

Previous Close$7.66
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$7.66

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Lazydays Holdings, Inc. operates in the recreational vehicle (RV) retail and service industry, catering to a niche but growing market of outdoor enthusiasts. The company generates revenue primarily through the sale of new and used RVs, complemented by financing, insurance, and aftermarket services. Its vertically integrated model includes parts, accessories, and maintenance, creating multiple revenue streams. Positioned as a one-stop shop, Lazydays differentiates itself through customer-centric service and a broad inventory. The RV industry is cyclical, influenced by consumer discretionary spending and macroeconomic conditions. Despite competition from regional dealers and online platforms, Lazydays leverages its established brand and extensive service network to maintain market share. The company’s strategic focus on high-margin ancillary services helps mitigate the volatility of RV sales. Its market position is further reinforced by a loyal customer base and a reputation for quality service, though it faces challenges from supply chain disruptions and fluctuating demand.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Lazydays reported revenue of $871.6 million for FY 2024, reflecting its scale in the RV retail sector. However, the company posted a net loss of $180.0 million, with diluted EPS of -$8.34, indicating significant profitability challenges. Operating cash flow was positive at $94.4 million, suggesting operational efficiency in generating cash despite the net loss. Capital expenditures of $19.0 million highlight ongoing investments in facilities and inventory.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative earnings underscore pressures from cost inflation and potential inventory write-downs. Operating cash flow, however, demonstrates an ability to convert sales into cash, a critical metric for capital efficiency. The disparity between net income and operating cash flow suggests non-cash charges or timing differences, warranting closer scrutiny of working capital management and asset turnover.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Lazydays holds $24.7 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $494.3 million, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. The debt load raises concerns about financial flexibility, particularly in a downturn. Shareholders’ equity is likely under pressure given the net loss, potentially impacting leverage ratios. The absence of dividends aligns with the need to preserve capital amid financial strain.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends are not provided, but the net loss suggests challenges in sustaining growth. The company’s dividend policy is inactive, with no payouts in FY 2024, reflecting a focus on liquidity and debt management. Future growth may hinge on market recovery and operational improvements, though cyclical risks remain a headwind.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Lazydays at a discount due to its profitability struggles and high leverage. Investors may weigh the potential for cyclical recovery against execution risks. The absence of dividends and negative EPS further dampen valuation appeal, though operational cash flow provides a modest counterbalance.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Lazydays’ integrated model and brand recognition offer strategic advantages, but macroeconomic and industry-specific risks loom large. The outlook depends on stabilizing profitability, managing debt, and capitalizing on any rebound in consumer demand. Success will require disciplined cost control and leveraging its service-driven differentiation to offset sales volatility.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0001721741), FY 2024 financial data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount