investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR)

Previous Close$184.45
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$184.45

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Gulfport Energy Corporation operates as an independent natural gas and oil exploration and production company, primarily focused on the Appalachian Basin and the Utica Shale. The company generates revenue through the extraction, processing, and sale of hydrocarbons, leveraging its extensive acreage positions and operational expertise. Gulfport’s market position is underpinned by its low-cost structure and efficient drilling techniques, which enhance its competitiveness in volatile commodity markets. The company’s strategic focus on natural gas, particularly in the Utica Shale, positions it to benefit from long-term demand trends driven by energy transition dynamics. Gulfport’s asset portfolio is characterized by high-quality reserves and scalable production capabilities, allowing it to adapt to shifting market conditions. While the company faces competition from larger integrated players, its niche focus on cost-efficient operations provides a distinct advantage in margin-sensitive environments.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Gulfport reported revenue of $928.6 million for the period, though net income stood at a loss of $261.4 million, reflecting challenges in commodity price volatility and operational costs. The company generated $650 million in operating cash flow, demonstrating strong cash generation despite profitability pressures. Capital expenditures of $454.1 million indicate ongoing investment in production capabilities, though efficiency metrics remain under scrutiny given the net loss.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The diluted EPS of -$14.72 highlights significant earnings pressure, likely tied to weak natural gas prices and elevated costs. However, robust operating cash flow suggests underlying earnings power, with capital efficiency dependent on commodity price recovery. The company’s ability to sustain operations amid cyclical downturns will be critical for long-term capital allocation effectiveness.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Gulfport’s balance sheet shows $1.5 million in cash against $709 million in total debt, raising concerns about liquidity and leverage. The absence of dividends aligns with a focus on debt management and reinvestment. While operating cash flow provides some coverage, the company’s financial health hinges on stabilizing profitability and managing debt obligations.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth prospects are tied to natural gas market dynamics, with no current dividend distribution as the company prioritizes capital preservation. Production scalability and cost control will be key drivers of future growth, though near-term trends remain subdued due to macroeconomic headwinds.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market expectations appear tempered, given the net loss and leveraged balance sheet. Valuation metrics likely reflect skepticism around near-term commodity price recovery, though the company’s asset base could attract interest if gas demand strengthens.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Gulfport’s low-cost operations and strategic acreage provide resilience, but the outlook remains cautious due to debt levels and commodity uncertainty. Success hinges on operational execution and favorable energy market trends.

Sources

Company filings (10-K), Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount