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Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR)

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$184.45
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)101.67-45
Intrinsic value (DCF)0.00-100
Graham-Dodd Method20.96-89
Graham Formula42.94-77

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Gulfport Energy Corporation (NYSE: GPOR) is a leading independent natural gas and oil exploration and production company focused on the Utica Shale in Eastern Ohio and the SCOOP play in Oklahoma. With approximately 187,000 net acres in the Utica and 74,000 net acres in the SCOOP, Gulfport holds a strategic position in two of North America’s most prolific hydrocarbon basins. The company reported proved reserves of 3.9 trillion cubic feet of natural gas equivalent as of December 2021, underscoring its resource-rich portfolio. Gulfport’s operations emphasize cost-efficient production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs), leveraging advanced drilling techniques to maximize recovery. Headquartered in Oklahoma City, Gulfport plays a critical role in the U.S. energy sector, contributing to domestic supply resilience. Despite recent financial volatility, its asset base and operational focus position it as a key player in the evolving energy landscape.

Investment Summary

Gulfport Energy presents a mixed investment profile. Its strong asset base in the Utica and SCOOP plays offers long-term resource potential, supported by low breakeven costs and efficient operations. However, the company’s recent financials reflect challenges, including negative net income (-$261M in the latest period) and high leverage (total debt of $709M against minimal cash reserves). The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors, but Gulfport’s beta of 0.613 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, appealing to risk-averse energy investors. Operational cash flow ($650M) currently covers capital expenditures ($454M), but sustained commodity price weakness could strain liquidity. Investors should weigh its resource upside against financial risks and sector cyclicality.

Competitive Analysis

Gulfport Energy’s competitive advantage lies in its high-quality acreage positions in the Utica and SCOOP, which are characterized by low-cost production and favorable geology. The company’s focus on natural gas and NGLs aligns with long-term demand trends, though it exposes Gulfport to commodity price swings. Compared to peers, Gulfport’s operational efficiency is a strength, but its smaller scale limits economies of scale enjoyed by larger E&P firms. Its post-bankruptcy restructuring (emerging in 2021) has streamlined its balance sheet, but debt remains a concern. Gulfport’s lack of diversification—relying heavily on two basins—contrasts with larger competitors with global portfolios. In the Marcellus/Utica peer group, Gulfport’s reserves and production profile are mid-tier, but its concentrated asset base requires disciplined execution to compete with well-capitalized rivals. The company’s ability to hedge production and manage costs will be critical in maintaining competitiveness amid volatile gas prices.

Major Competitors

  • Range Resources Corporation (RRC): Range Resources (NYSE: RRC) is a dominant Appalachian Basin operator with a low-cost structure and significant Marcellus Shale exposure. Its integrated midstream assets provide cost advantages over Gulfport, but its higher debt load (~$3.1B) is a risk. Range’s broader asset diversification offsets Gulfport’s geographic concentration.
  • Southwestern Energy Company (SWN): Southwestern Energy (NYSE: SWN) rivals Gulfport in gas-weighted production but operates at a larger scale across the Marcellus, Utica, and Haynesville. Its Haynesville position provides optionality to Gulf Coast LNG demand, a strategic edge over Gulfport. However, SWN’s leverage (net debt/EBITDA ~1.5x) is comparable to Gulfport’s.
  • Antero Resources Corporation (AR): Antero Resources (NYSE: AR) is a premier Appalachian NGL producer with extensive midstream partnerships. Its NGL focus aligns with Gulfport’s, but Antero’s firm transportation contracts reduce price volatility exposure—a key advantage. Antero’s higher capex intensity, however, may limit flexibility in downturns.
  • EQT Corporation (EQT): EQT (NYSE: EQT) is the largest U.S. natural gas producer, with massive scale in the Marcellus. Its low-cost structure and hedging program outpace Gulfport’s capabilities, but EQT’s acquisition-driven growth carries integration risks. Gulfport’s SCOOP position offers differentiation versus EQT’s Appalachia-heavy portfolio.
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