investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. (GSBC)

Previous Close$60.24
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$60.24

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Great Southern Bancorp, Inc. operates as a bank holding company primarily serving the Midwest through its subsidiary, Great Southern Bank. The company generates revenue through traditional banking activities, including commercial and retail lending, deposit services, and wealth management. Its loan portfolio is diversified across commercial real estate, residential mortgages, and consumer loans, with a strong focus on relationship-based banking. The bank maintains a competitive edge through localized decision-making and personalized customer service, distinguishing itself in a sector dominated by larger national players. With a conservative risk management approach, Great Southern Bancorp has built a reputation for stability and reliability, particularly in rural and suburban markets. Its market position is reinforced by a well-established branch network and a commitment to community-oriented banking, which fosters customer loyalty and long-term growth.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Great Southern Bancorp reported revenue of $355.3 million for FY 2024, with net income of $61.8 million, reflecting a steady performance in a competitive banking environment. Diluted EPS stood at $5.26, indicating efficient earnings distribution across its 11.7 million outstanding shares. Operating cash flow of $44.1 million underscores the company’s ability to generate liquidity from core operations, while negligible capital expenditures suggest a lean operational structure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is supported by a disciplined lending strategy and a stable deposit base, contributing to consistent profitability. With no significant capital expenditures, Great Southern Bancorp demonstrates efficient capital allocation, prioritizing organic growth and shareholder returns. The absence of heavy investment outlays allows the bank to maintain strong capital ratios and reinvest earnings into high-yield lending opportunities.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Great Southern Bancorp’s balance sheet remains robust, with $195.8 million in cash and equivalents providing ample liquidity. Total debt of $101.9 million is manageable relative to its asset base, reflecting prudent leverage. The bank’s conservative financial policies ensure resilience against economic downturns, with a focus on maintaining high-quality loan portfolios and adequate reserves for credit losses.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated steady growth through organic expansion and selective acquisitions, particularly in its core Midwest markets. A dividend of $1.60 per share highlights its commitment to returning capital to shareholders, supported by stable earnings and a strong payout ratio. This balanced approach aligns with its long-term strategy of sustainable growth and shareholder value creation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Great Southern Bancorp’s valuation reflects its regional banking focus, with market expectations centered on steady, low-risk growth. The bank’s conservative risk profile and consistent dividend payments appeal to income-focused investors, though its regional concentration may limit upside compared to more diversified peers. Current metrics suggest a fair valuation relative to its earnings and book value.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

The bank’s strategic advantages include deep community ties, localized decision-making, and a conservative credit culture, which mitigate risks in volatile economic conditions. Looking ahead, Great Southern Bancorp is well-positioned to capitalize on regional economic growth, though rising interest rates and competitive pressures may pose challenges. Its focus on relationship banking and operational efficiency should continue to drive stable performance.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount