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Intrinsic Value of Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)

Previous Close$247.68
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$247.68

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2025 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Lululemon Athletica Inc. operates as a premium athletic apparel retailer, specializing in yoga-inspired, technical athletic clothing and accessories. The company targets affluent, health-conscious consumers through a vertically integrated model encompassing design, sourcing, and direct-to-consumer sales. Its product portfolio includes high-performance leggings, tops, outerwear, and accessories, with a strong emphasis on innovation and sustainability. Lululemon has cultivated a loyal customer base through its community-driven marketing, premium pricing strategy, and omnichannel distribution, which includes e-commerce and company-owned stores. The brand maintains a dominant position in the athleisure market, competing with Nike, Adidas, and Under Armour while differentiating itself through superior fabric technology and a lifestyle-oriented brand ethos. Its expansion into footwear and international markets further solidifies its growth trajectory.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Lululemon reported revenue of $10.59 billion for FY 2025, with net income reaching $1.81 billion, reflecting a robust 17.1% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $14.64, underscoring strong profitability. Operating cash flow was $2.27 billion, while capital expenditures totaled $689 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment. The company’s efficient operations are evident in its high gross margins, driven by premium pricing and supply chain optimization.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates significant earnings power, with a return on equity likely exceeding industry averages given its high net income relative to shareholder equity. Capital efficiency is strong, as evidenced by its ability to generate substantial operating cash flow while maintaining moderate capital expenditures. Lululemon’s asset-light model and direct-to-consumer focus enhance its ability to convert revenue into free cash flow effectively.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Lululemon’s balance sheet remains healthy, with $1.98 billion in cash and equivalents against $1.58 billion in total debt, providing ample liquidity. The low leverage ratio suggests financial flexibility, supporting future growth initiatives. Shareholders’ equity is bolstered by retained earnings, reflecting consistent profitability and prudent capital management.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Lululemon has exhibited consistent revenue and earnings growth, driven by store expansion, e-commerce penetration, and product diversification. The company does not pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest profits into growth opportunities such as international expansion and innovation. This strategy aligns with its focus on long-term value creation rather than short-term shareholder returns.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Lululemon at a premium, reflecting its strong brand equity, growth prospects, and profitability. Investors anticipate sustained outperformance in the athleisure sector, supported by international expansion and product innovation. The stock’s valuation multiples suggest high expectations for future earnings growth and market share gains.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Lululemon’s strategic advantages include its premium brand positioning, loyal customer base, and innovative product pipeline. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing athleisure trend, with opportunities in footwear and international markets. Risks include competitive pressures and macroeconomic headwinds, but its strong execution and brand strength provide a solid foundation for continued success.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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