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Intrinsic Value of Southwest Airlines Co. (LUV)

Previous Close$26.81
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$26.81

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2022(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %50.8NaN
Revenue, $23814NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m22797NaN
Operating income, $m1017NaN
EBITDA, $m2368NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m728NaN
Tax expense, $m189NaN
Net income, $m539NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m12292NaN
Total assets, $m37366NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m25074NaN
Average production assets, $m18850NaN
Working capital, $m4430NaN
Total debt, $m9431NaN
Total liabilities, $m26679NaN
Total equity, $m10687NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.882NaN
Adjusted equity ratio-0.053NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m539NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m1351NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3790NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-3924NaN
Free cash flow, $m7714NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m4430
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN

Company description

Southwest Airlines Co. operates as a passenger airline company that provide scheduled air transportation services in the United States and near-international markets. As of December 31, 2022, the company operated a total fleet of 770 Boeing 737 aircrafts; and served 121 destinations in 42 states, the District of Columbia, and the Commonwealth of Puerto Rico, as well as ten near-international countries, including Mexico, Jamaica, the Bahamas, Aruba, the Dominican Republic, Costa Rica, Belize, Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Turks and Caicos. It also provides inflight entertainment portal and connectivity services on Wi-Fi enabled aircrafts; and Rapid Rewards loyalty program that enables program members to earn points for dollars spent on Southwest base fares. In addition, the company offers a suite of digital platforms to support customers' travel needs, including websites and apps; and SWABIZ, an online booking tool. Further, it provides ancillary services, such as Southwest's EarlyBird Check-In, upgraded boarding, and transportation of pets and unaccompanied minors. The company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
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