investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Manhattan Associates, Inc. (MANH)

Previous Close$196.16
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$196.16

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Manhattan Associates, Inc. is a leading provider of supply chain and omnichannel commerce software solutions, serving retail, wholesale, manufacturing, and logistics industries globally. The company specializes in cloud-based and on-premise solutions that optimize inventory management, order fulfillment, and transportation logistics, enabling businesses to enhance operational efficiency and customer satisfaction. Its flagship platforms, including Manhattan Active® and Manhattan SCALE®, are widely adopted by Fortune 500 companies, reinforcing its reputation as a trusted partner in complex supply chain environments. Manhattan Associates differentiates itself through deep domain expertise, continuous innovation, and a customer-centric approach, which has solidified its competitive edge in a fragmented market. The company’s focus on integrated, end-to-end solutions positions it favorably against niche competitors, while its recurring revenue model from software subscriptions and maintenance ensures stable cash flows. As digital transformation accelerates across industries, Manhattan Associates is well-placed to capitalize on growing demand for agile, data-driven supply chain technologies.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

For FY 2024, Manhattan Associates reported revenue of $1.04 billion, reflecting steady growth driven by strong demand for its cloud-based solutions. Net income stood at $218.4 million, with diluted EPS of $3.51, underscoring robust profitability. Operating cash flow of $295 million and minimal capital expenditures ($8.7 million) highlight efficient cash generation and disciplined capital allocation, supporting further investment in innovation and market expansion.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company demonstrates strong earnings power, with healthy margins supported by high-margin software licenses and subscription revenues. Capital efficiency is evident in its ability to generate significant operating cash flow relative to capital expenditures, enabling reinvestment in R&D and strategic initiatives without reliance on excessive debt or equity financing.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Manhattan Associates maintains a solid balance sheet, with $266.2 million in cash and equivalents and modest total debt of $47.8 million. This conservative leverage profile provides financial flexibility to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties while funding growth opportunities. The absence of dividends allows the company to prioritize organic expansion and shareholder value through share repurchases or accretive acquisitions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth trends indicate sustained demand for supply chain optimization tools, particularly in cloud adoption. The company does not pay dividends, opting instead to reinvest profits into product development and global market penetration. This strategy aligns with its focus on long-term value creation, supported by recurring revenue streams and a scalable business model.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Market expectations for Manhattan Associates reflect optimism around its leadership in supply chain software, with valuation metrics likely factoring in premium growth prospects. The company’s ability to maintain high margins and expand its cloud footprint positions it favorably relative to peers, though competitive pressures and macroeconomic headwinds remain key monitorable risks.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Manhattan Associates’ strategic advantages lie in its deep industry expertise, innovative product portfolio, and strong customer relationships. The outlook remains positive, driven by secular trends favoring digital supply chain solutions. However, execution risks and competition from larger enterprise software vendors could challenge its growth trajectory. Continued focus on innovation and customer success will be critical to sustaining its market position.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount