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Intrinsic Value of Marriott International, Inc. (MAR)

Previous Close$280.03
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$280.03

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Marriott International, Inc. is a global leader in the hospitality industry, operating a diversified portfolio of hotel brands across luxury, premium, and select-service segments. The company primarily follows a fee-driven business model, deriving revenue from management contracts, franchise agreements, and owned/leased properties. Its extensive network spans over 8,000 properties in 139 countries, reinforcing its dominance in the upscale and midscale lodging markets. Marriott’s competitive edge lies in its strong brand recognition, loyalty program (Marriott Bonvoy), and strategic partnerships, which drive occupancy and pricing power. The company’s asset-light approach minimizes capital intensity while maximizing scalability, allowing it to adapt to shifting consumer preferences and economic cycles. With a focus on digital innovation and sustainability, Marriott maintains a resilient position in an industry increasingly shaped by experiential travel and corporate demand.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Marriott reported $25.1 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $2.38 billion, reflecting a robust 9.5% net margin. Diluted EPS stood at $8.33, supported by disciplined cost management and operational leverage. Operating cash flow reached $2.75 billion, while capital expenditures were limited to $750 million, underscoring the efficiency of its asset-light model. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash flow highlights its strong execution in a competitive landscape.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Marriott’s earnings power is evident in its high-margin fee-based revenue streams, which require minimal capital investment. The company’s return on invested capital (ROIC) remains industry-leading, driven by its scalable franchise and management operations. With $8.33 in diluted EPS, Marriott demonstrates consistent profitability, further amplified by its global footprint and pricing power in key markets.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Marriott’s balance sheet shows $396 million in cash and equivalents against $15.24 billion in total debt, indicating a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s strong cash flow generation supports debt servicing and strategic investments. Its asset-light structure reduces balance sheet risk, though investors should monitor leverage ratios in light of potential economic downturns or rising interest rates.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Marriott’s growth is fueled by global expansion, with a pipeline of new properties and brand extensions. The company paid a dividend of $2.40 per share in FY 2024, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. While dividend growth has been modest, Marriott prioritizes reinvestment in high-return projects and share repurchases, balancing income and capital appreciation for investors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Marriott trades at a premium valuation, reflecting its market leadership and resilient business model. Investors anticipate sustained growth in fee revenue and margin expansion, though macroeconomic factors like travel demand and labor costs remain key variables. The stock’s performance hinges on execution in international markets and the continued success of its loyalty program.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Marriott’s strategic advantages include its unparalleled brand portfolio, global scale, and asset-light structure. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the recovery in business and leisure travel, with a focus on digital transformation and sustainability initiatives. Long-term prospects remain favorable, though geopolitical risks and competitive pressures warrant vigilance.

Sources

10-K filings, investor presentations, Bloomberg

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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