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Intrinsic ValueGroupe Carnivor S.A. (MLGRC.PA)

Previous Close23.20
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
23.20

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Groupe Carnivor SA operates in the meat production and distribution industry, specializing in high-quality meat products for retail and foodservice clients. The company serves the French market with a focus on efficiency and sustainability in its supply chain. Despite being classified under the financial services sector in some databases, its core operations remain firmly rooted in agribusiness, leveraging vertical integration to maintain cost control and product consistency. Groupe Carnivor competes in a fragmented market, where regional players often dominate. Its long-standing presence since 1992 provides stability, but growth is constrained by low-margin dynamics and regulatory pressures in the meat industry. The company’s ability to adapt to shifting consumer preferences, such as organic or plant-based alternatives, will be critical for future positioning.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY 2022, Groupe Carnivor reported revenue of €392.9 million, with net income of €1.75 million, reflecting tight margins typical of the meat processing sector. Operating cash flow stood at €1.89 million, while capital expenditures of €-16.82 million suggest ongoing investments in production infrastructure. The modest net income indicates challenges in scaling profitability amid input cost volatility.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s diluted EPS of €0.74 underscores limited earnings power, likely due to competitive pricing and operational inefficiencies. Negative free cash flow, after accounting for capex, highlights capital-intensive operations. With no dividend distribution, retained earnings are presumably reinvested, though the low net income raises questions about capital allocation effectiveness.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Groupe Carnivor’s balance sheet shows €20.07 million in cash against €87.85 million in total debt, indicating moderate leverage. The debt load may constrain flexibility, particularly given the industry’s thin margins. Liquidity appears adequate, but sustained capex demands could pressure financial stability if revenue growth stagnates.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue trends are undisclosed, but the absence of dividends suggests a focus on reinvestment. The meat industry’s slow growth and margin pressures limit near-term upside. Strategic shifts, such as value-added product lines or export expansion, could drive future growth, though execution risks remain.

Valuation And Market Expectations

With a market cap of €36.2 million, the stock trades at a low multiple relative to revenue, reflecting market skepticism about earnings scalability. The negative beta (-0.33) implies atypical volatility patterns, possibly due to illiquidity or niche positioning.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Groupe Carnivor’s vertical integration provides cost advantages, but sector headwinds—such as rising feed costs and regulatory scrutiny—pose risks. Diversification into higher-margin segments or sustainable practices could enhance competitiveness. The outlook remains cautious, hinging on operational improvements and market adaptation.

Sources

Company description, financial data from disclosed ticker metrics

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FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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