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Intrinsic Value of Maximus, Inc. (MMS)

Previous Close$71.49
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$71.49

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Maximus, Inc. operates as a leading provider of government-sponsored health and human services programs globally, specializing in program administration, eligibility assessments, and customer support. The company primarily serves federal, state, and local governments, leveraging its expertise in large-scale, complex service delivery. Its core revenue model is built on long-term contracts, often performance-based, ensuring stable cash flows. Maximus holds a strong market position in the government services sector, particularly in healthcare administration, where it competes with firms like Conduent and Accenture. The company differentiates itself through deep regulatory knowledge, operational scalability, and technology-enabled solutions that improve efficiency for public-sector clients. Its services are critical to the functioning of social safety net programs, positioning it as a key partner for governments navigating demographic shifts and policy changes. The firm’s international expansion, particularly in the UK and Australia, further diversifies its revenue streams and mitigates regional risks.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Maximus reported revenue of $5.31 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $306.9 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 5.8%. Diluted EPS stood at $4.99, demonstrating steady profitability. Operating cash flow was robust at $515.3 million, though capital expenditures of $114.2 million indicate ongoing investments in technology and infrastructure. The company’s ability to convert revenue into cash underscores its operational efficiency.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The firm’s earnings power is supported by its high-margin government contracts and scalable delivery model. With an operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.68, Maximus efficiently generates cash from earnings. Its capital efficiency is evident in its disciplined capex approach, focusing on technology upgrades and process automation to sustain long-term margins.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Maximus maintains a solid balance sheet with $183.1 million in cash and equivalents, though total debt of $1.28 billion suggests moderate leverage. The company’s debt levels are manageable given its stable cash flows and government-backed revenue streams. Its liquidity position supports ongoing operations and potential strategic investments.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Revenue growth has been steady, driven by contract renewals and expansions in international markets. The company pays a dividend of $1.20 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Future growth may hinge on winning new government contracts and expanding its service offerings in adjacent markets like workforce development.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Trading at a P/E multiple derived from its $4.99 EPS, Maximus is valued for its defensive earnings profile and government-backed revenue stability. Market expectations likely focus on its ability to maintain margins amid potential regulatory changes and contract recompetes.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Maximus benefits from high barriers to entry in government contracting, deep client relationships, and a reputation for reliable service delivery. The outlook remains positive, supported by increasing demand for outsourced government services and the firm’s focus on digital transformation. Risks include budget austerity and political shifts affecting program funding.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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