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Intrinsic Value of New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR)

Previous Close$45.73
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$45.73

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

New Jersey Resources Corporation (NJR) operates as an energy services holding company primarily focused on natural gas distribution, renewable energy, and energy infrastructure. Its core segments include regulated utility operations under New Jersey Natural Gas (NJNG), which serves over 570,000 customers, and clean energy investments through NJR Clean Energy Ventures. The company’s revenue model combines stable utility earnings with growth from renewable projects, positioning it in the competitive but regulated Northeast energy market. NJR differentiates itself through a balanced portfolio of low-carbon initiatives and traditional gas distribution, aligning with regional decarbonization goals while maintaining reliable service. Its market position is reinforced by strategic investments in solar and storage, alongside a strong regulatory framework that supports predictable cash flows.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

In FY2024, NJR reported revenue of $1.8 billion and net income of $289.8 million, reflecting a disciplined cost structure and efficient operations. Diluted EPS stood at $2.92, supported by steady utility margins and contributions from renewable projects. Operating cash flow of $427.4 million underscores solid liquidity, though capital expenditures of $571.3 million highlight ongoing investments in infrastructure and clean energy.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

NJR’s earnings power is anchored by its regulated utility segment, which provides stable returns, complemented by higher-growth renewable energy ventures. The company’s capital efficiency is evident in its ability to fund expansions while maintaining a reasonable debt profile. However, elevated capex signals a focus on long-term growth over near-term free cash flow generation.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

NJR’s balance sheet shows $1.0 billion in cash against $3.5 billion in total debt, indicating moderate leverage. The utility’s regulated asset base and predictable cash flows mitigate refinancing risks. Dividend payments of $1.77 per share are well-covered by earnings, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth is driven by NJNG’s customer expansion and renewable energy investments, with a focus on solar and storage. The dividend yield remains attractive, supported by a history of consistent payouts. Future growth may hinge on regulatory approvals and execution of clean energy projects.

Valuation And Market Expectations

NJR trades at a premium to peers, reflecting its hybrid utility-renewable model and growth potential. Investors likely price in regulatory stability and clean energy tailwinds, though capex intensity could weigh on near-term multiples.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

NJR’s dual focus on regulated utility operations and renewable energy provides resilience and growth optionality. Regulatory support for decarbonization and infrastructure upgrades bodes well for long-term earnings. Execution risks include capex timing and rate case outcomes, but the outlook remains positive given regional energy transition trends.

Sources

Company 10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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