investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Pool Corporation (POOL)

Previous Close$306.32
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$306.32

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Pool Corporation operates as the largest wholesale distributor of swimming pool supplies, equipment, and related leisure products globally. The company serves a diverse customer base, including pool builders, retailers, and service providers, leveraging its extensive distribution network across North America, Europe, and Australia. Its core revenue model is built on bulk purchasing economies of scale, enabling competitive pricing and strong supplier relationships. The company also provides value-added services such as inventory management and technical support, reinforcing its market leadership. Pool Corporation benefits from steady demand driven by residential and commercial pool maintenance, renovation, and new construction. Its strategic positioning in a fragmented industry allows it to capitalize on consolidation opportunities while maintaining pricing power. The company’s focus on high-margin products and operational efficiency further strengthens its competitive edge in the leisure and outdoor living sector.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Pool Corporation reported revenue of $5.31 billion for FY 2024, with net income of $434.3 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 8.2%. Diluted EPS stood at $11.42, demonstrating robust profitability. Operating cash flow was strong at $659.2 million, supported by efficient working capital management. Capital expenditures were modest at $59.5 million, indicating disciplined reinvestment in the business.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s earnings power is underscored by its ability to generate consistent cash flows, with operating cash flow covering capital expenditures by a wide margin. Its capital efficiency is evident in its ability to maintain high returns on invested capital, driven by a scalable distribution model and prudent cost controls. The diluted EPS growth reflects effective capital allocation and operational leverage.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Pool Corporation’s balance sheet shows $77.9 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $1.27 billion, indicating a leveraged but manageable position. The company’s debt levels are sustainable given its strong cash flow generation. Shareholders’ equity remains healthy, supporting future growth initiatives and potential acquisitions in a consolidating industry.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated steady growth, supported by recurring revenue from pool maintenance and seasonal demand. Its dividend policy is shareholder-friendly, with a dividend per share of $4.73, reflecting a commitment to returning capital. Growth is further driven by market share gains and expansion into adjacent product categories, such as outdoor living and irrigation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Pool Corporation trades at a premium valuation, reflecting its market leadership and predictable cash flows. Investors likely price in continued growth from industry tailwinds, including an aging pool inventory and increasing demand for outdoor leisure products. The company’s ability to pass on cost inflation to customers further supports earnings resilience.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Pool Corporation’s strategic advantages include its extensive distribution network, strong supplier relationships, and economies of scale. The outlook remains positive, supported by long-term trends in outdoor living and pool ownership. The company is well-positioned to navigate cyclical demand fluctuations while capitalizing on growth opportunities in both existing and new markets.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations, Bloomberg

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount