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Intrinsic ValueTriCo Bancshares (TCBK)

Previous Close$49.82
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$49.82

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

TriCo Bancshares operates as the holding company for Tri Counties Bank, a regional financial institution serving Northern and Central California. The company generates revenue primarily through traditional banking activities, including commercial and consumer lending, deposit services, and wealth management. Its market position is anchored in community banking, leveraging localized decision-making and personalized customer relationships to compete against larger national banks. TriCo focuses on small to mid-sized businesses, agricultural clients, and retail customers, differentiating itself through responsive service and deep regional expertise. The bank maintains a conservative risk profile, emphasizing sound underwriting and long-term customer retention. Its geographic footprint spans rural and semi-urban markets where it often holds top-tier deposit market share, benefiting from limited competition in these areas. TriCo's diversified loan portfolio mitigates sector-specific risks while maintaining steady interest income.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

TriCo Bancshares reported $388.8 million in revenue for the period, with net income of $114.9 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 29.5%. The company's diluted EPS stood at $3.47, demonstrating solid earnings conversion from its banking operations. Operating cash flow of $109.7 million indicates healthy cash generation, with no reported capital expenditures, suggesting efficient maintenance of existing infrastructure.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The bank's earnings power appears stable, supported by interest income from its loan portfolio and fee-based services. With $144.96 million in cash and equivalents against $216.24 million in total debt, TriCo maintains moderate leverage. The absence of capital expenditures suggests disciplined reinvestment practices, allowing for capital preservation and potential dividend growth.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

TriCo's balance sheet shows prudent liquidity management, with cash representing about 6.7% of total assets based on the reported figures. The debt-to-equity ratio appears manageable given the regional banking context. The company's financial health is further supported by consistent profitability and strong operating cash flow generation, providing flexibility for future growth or economic downturns.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company has demonstrated a commitment to shareholder returns, paying $1.32 per share in dividends during the period. This represents a payout ratio of approximately 38% based on reported EPS, leaving room for both dividend growth and retained earnings. TriCo's growth strategy likely focuses on organic expansion within its existing markets rather than aggressive acquisition-led growth.

Valuation And Market Expectations

At a P/E ratio of approximately 10.7x based on the reported EPS, TriCo trades in line with many regional bank peers. The market appears to price in steady but modest growth expectations, reflecting the competitive banking landscape and interest rate environment. Investors likely value the company for its consistent performance and dividend yield rather than rapid expansion potential.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

TriCo's primary advantages include its entrenched position in Northern California markets and relationship-driven banking model. The outlook remains stable, with potential growth from gradual market share gains and prudent loan book expansion. Challenges include interest rate sensitivity and competition from both traditional and digital banking providers, though the company's community focus provides some insulation.

Sources

Company filings (CIK: 0000356171), reported financial data

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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