investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of VICI Properties Inc. (VICI)

Previous Close$33.42
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$33.42

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

VICI Properties Inc. is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in experiential real estate, primarily gaming, hospitality, and entertainment properties. The company operates through a triple-net lease model, where tenants cover property expenses, ensuring stable, long-term cash flows. Its portfolio includes iconic assets such as Caesars Palace and the Venetian Resort, positioning VICI as a dominant player in the high-barrier gaming real estate sector. The company’s focus on premium properties in key markets like Las Vegas and Atlantic City provides resilience against economic cycles. VICI’s strategic acquisitions and partnerships with top-tier operators reinforce its competitive moat, making it a preferred landlord for gaming and leisure tenants. The REIT’s scalable platform and disciplined capital allocation further enhance its ability to capitalize on growth opportunities in the experiential real estate space.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

VICI reported revenue of $3.85 billion for FY 2024, with net income reaching $2.68 billion, reflecting strong operational performance. The diluted EPS of $2.56 underscores efficient earnings generation, supported by $2.38 billion in operating cash flow. With no capital expenditures, the company maintains high cash conversion, reinforcing its low-overhead, asset-light business model. This efficiency is critical for sustaining dividend payouts and funding growth initiatives.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

VICI’s earnings power is evident in its robust cash flow generation, which supports its dividend policy and debt servicing. The absence of capex requirements enhances capital efficiency, allowing the company to reinvest surplus cash into accretive acquisitions or shareholder returns. The REIT’s focus on high-quality, income-generating assets ensures predictable earnings, a key advantage in volatile markets.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

VICI’s balance sheet shows $524.6 million in cash and equivalents against $17.65 billion in total debt, indicating leverage that is manageable given its stable cash flows. The triple-net lease structure mitigates operational risks, while the long-term nature of tenant agreements provides visibility into future revenue. The company’s financial health is further supported by its investment-grade credit profile.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

VICI has demonstrated consistent growth through strategic acquisitions and organic lease escalations. The dividend per share of $1.67 reflects a commitment to returning capital to shareholders, supported by reliable cash flows. The REIT’s growth trajectory is underpinned by its ability to identify and acquire high-yielding properties in the gaming and hospitality sectors.

Valuation And Market Expectations

VICI’s valuation reflects its premium positioning in the gaming REIT sector, trading at multiples aligned with its stable cash flows and growth potential. Market expectations are anchored on the company’s ability to execute accretive deals and maintain dividend growth, supported by its strong portfolio and industry tailwinds.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

VICI’s strategic advantages include its high-quality asset base, long-term tenant relationships, and scalable platform. The outlook remains positive, driven by demand for experiential real estate and the company’s disciplined capital allocation. Potential risks include macroeconomic headwinds, but VICI’s resilient model positions it well for sustained performance.

Sources

10-K, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount