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Intrinsic ValueVarex Imaging Corporation (VREX)

Previous Close$11.30
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$11.30

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Varex Imaging Corporation operates in the healthcare technology sector, specializing in the design and manufacture of X-ray imaging components and solutions. The company serves a diverse customer base, including medical imaging system manufacturers, industrial inspection firms, and security screening providers. Its core revenue model is driven by the sale of X-ray tubes, digital detectors, and imaging software, with recurring revenue streams from replacement parts and service contracts. Varex holds a strong position in niche markets, leveraging its proprietary technology and long-standing relationships with OEMs. The company competes globally, differentiating itself through innovation, reliability, and regulatory expertise in a highly technical industry. Its industrial segment provides high-energy imaging solutions for non-destructive testing, while its medical segment focuses on diagnostic and therapeutic applications. Varex’s market position is reinforced by its vertically integrated manufacturing capabilities and a reputation for quality in mission-critical applications.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Varex reported revenue of $811 million for the fiscal year ending September 2024, reflecting its established market presence. However, the company posted a net loss of $47.7 million, with diluted EPS of -$1.17, indicating profitability challenges. Operating cash flow stood at $47.3 million, while capital expenditures totaled $26.9 million, suggesting moderate reinvestment needs. The negative net income highlights margin pressures, possibly from input costs or competitive pricing dynamics.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

The company’s negative earnings and EPS underscore operational headwinds, though its operating cash flow remains positive, providing some liquidity. Capital efficiency appears constrained, as evidenced by the net loss relative to revenue. Varex’s ability to convert sales into sustainable profits will depend on cost management and potential revenue mix improvements, particularly in higher-margin segments like software and services.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Varex maintains a solid liquidity position with $168.7 million in cash and equivalents, offset by total debt of $470.4 million. The debt level suggests leverage, but the cash reserve provides a buffer. The absence of dividends aligns with a focus on preserving capital. Investors should monitor debt servicing capacity and working capital trends, especially given the net loss.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Growth trends are muted, with profitability challenges overshadowing top-line stability. The company does not pay dividends, prioritizing reinvestment or debt reduction. Future growth may hinge on technological advancements, such as AI-integrated imaging solutions, or expansion into emerging markets. The lack of a dividend policy reflects a conservative approach to capital allocation amid uncertain earnings recovery.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market likely prices Varex with caution due to its negative earnings and competitive pressures. Valuation metrics would focus on revenue multiples or discounted cash flow scenarios assuming margin recovery. Investor sentiment may hinge on execution toward profitability and debt management, with potential upside from secular demand for advanced imaging solutions.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Varex’s strengths lie in its specialized technology, OEM relationships, and regulatory compliance. The outlook depends on its ability to navigate cost pressures and innovate in high-growth areas like AI-driven diagnostics. Strategic partnerships or acquisitions could enhance its market position, but near-term challenges persist. Long-term prospects remain tied to healthcare and industrial imaging demand.

Sources

10-K filing, CIK 0001681622

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

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