investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Welltower Inc. (WELL)

Previous Close$155.16
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$155.16

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Welltower Inc. is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in healthcare infrastructure, primarily focusing on senior housing, outpatient medical properties, and long-term care facilities. The company operates through a diversified portfolio of high-quality assets, generating revenue primarily through long-term leases and rental income from healthcare operators. Welltower’s strategic emphasis on demographic tailwinds—such as aging populations and increasing healthcare demand—positions it as a critical player in the healthcare real estate sector. Its properties are often mission-critical for tenants, ensuring stable occupancy and cash flow. The REIT differentiates itself through partnerships with top-tier healthcare providers, ensuring operational resilience and alignment with industry trends toward outpatient care and value-based models. Welltower’s scale and expertise allow it to capitalize on consolidation opportunities while maintaining disciplined underwriting standards.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Welltower reported $7.85 billion in revenue for FY 2024, with net income of $951.7 million, reflecting a net margin of approximately 12.1%. The company’s operating cash flow of $2.26 billion underscores its ability to convert rental income into stable liquidity. With no reported capital expenditures, Welltower demonstrates capital efficiency by focusing on asset optimization rather than heavy reinvestment.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at $1.57, supported by disciplined cost management and high occupancy rates across its portfolio. The absence of capital expenditures highlights Welltower’s asset-light approach, relying on third-party operators for property management. This structure enhances return on invested capital while minimizing operational risks.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Welltower maintains a strong liquidity position with $3.51 billion in cash and equivalents, though total debt of $16.76 billion indicates leverage. The REIT’s ability to service debt is supported by consistent cash flow generation and access to capital markets. Its balance sheet remains investment-grade, ensuring flexibility for strategic acquisitions.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

Welltower’s growth is driven by demographic demand and portfolio repositioning toward higher-margin assets. The company pays a dividend of $2.56 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. Its payout ratio is sustainable, backed by reliable cash flows and a focus on long-term value creation.

Valuation And Market Expectations

The market values Welltower as a premium healthcare REIT, pricing in stable growth from aging demographics and healthcare expansion. Investors likely anticipate further portfolio optimization and accretive acquisitions, given the company’s track record of disciplined capital allocation.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Welltower’s competitive edge lies in its scale, tenant relationships, and focus on high-demand healthcare real estate. The outlook remains positive, supported by secular trends and operational resilience. Strategic acquisitions and partnerships are expected to drive future performance.

Sources

Company filings, investor presentations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount