investorscraft@gmail.com

Intrinsic Value of Winmark Corporation (WINA)

Previous Close$373.04
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$373.04

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2024 and quarterly data as of .

Data is not available at this time.

Stock Valuation Context

Business Model And Market Position

Winmark Corporation operates as a franchisor of retail stores specializing in resale merchandise, primarily under the brands Once Upon A Child, Plato’s Closet, Play It Again Sports, Music Go Round, and Style Encore. The company generates revenue through franchise fees, royalties, and lease income, leveraging a capital-light model that emphasizes high-margin recurring income. Its franchises cater to value-conscious consumers seeking affordable, sustainable shopping alternatives in the secondhand retail market. Winmark holds a niche but defensible position in the franchising industry, benefiting from strong brand recognition and a loyal customer base. The company’s focus on resale aligns with growing consumer trends toward sustainability and cost-consciousness, providing resilience against economic downturns. Unlike traditional retailers, Winmark avoids inventory risk by operating through franchisees, ensuring stable cash flows and scalable growth.

Revenue Profitability And Efficiency

Winmark reported revenue of $81.3 million in FY 2024, with net income of $39.95 million, reflecting a robust net margin of approximately 49%. The company’s operating cash flow of $42.2 million underscores its ability to convert earnings into cash efficiently. Minimal capital expenditures of $194,900 highlight its asset-light structure, enabling high returns on invested capital.

Earnings Power And Capital Efficiency

Diluted EPS stood at $10.89, demonstrating strong earnings power relative to its outstanding shares of 3.52 million. The company’s capital-efficient model, driven by franchise royalties and low overhead, supports consistent profitability. Operating cash flow significantly exceeds net income, indicating high-quality earnings with minimal non-cash adjustments.

Balance Sheet And Financial Health

Winmark maintains a conservative balance sheet with $12.2 million in cash and equivalents against total debt of $63 million. The debt level appears manageable given the company’s stable cash flows and high profitability. Shareholders’ equity is bolstered by retained earnings, reflecting disciplined capital allocation.

Growth Trends And Dividend Policy

The company’s growth is driven by franchise expansion and same-store sales improvements. Winmark returned capital to shareholders via dividends of $11.16 per share, signaling confidence in its cash-generating ability. The dividend payout ratio remains sustainable, supported by predictable royalty income.

Valuation And Market Expectations

Winmark’s valuation reflects its premium profitability and recurring revenue model. The market likely prices in steady growth from franchise additions and operational efficiency, though its niche focus may limit multiple expansion compared to broader retail peers.

Strategic Advantages And Outlook

Winmark’s franchise model and focus on resale retail provide resilience against economic volatility. The company is well-positioned to capitalize on sustainability trends and value-oriented consumer behavior. Continued franchise growth and efficient capital deployment should sustain its competitive edge.

Sources

10-K filing, company investor relations

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year2025202620272028202920302031203220332034203520362037203820392040204120422043204420452046204720482049

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %NaN
Revenue, $NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $mNaN
Operating income, $mNaN
EBITDA, $mNaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $mNaN
Tax expense, $mNaN
Net income, $mNaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $mNaN
Total assets, $mNaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $mNaN
Average production assets, $mNaN
Working capital, $mNaN
Total debt, $mNaN
Total liabilities, $mNaN
Total equity, $mNaN
Debt-to-equity ratioNaN
Adjusted equity ratioNaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $mNaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $mNaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $mNaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $mNaN
Free cash flow, $mNaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $mNaN
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
HomeMenuAccount