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Stock Analysis & ValuationLongxing Chemical Stock Co., Ltd. (002442.SZ)

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Previous Close
$6.57
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)67.21923
Intrinsic value (DCF)2.42-63
Graham-Dodd Method1.82-72
Graham Formula2.93-55

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Longxing Chemical Stock Co., Ltd. is a prominent Chinese specialty chemicals manufacturer specializing in carbon black and related products. Founded in 1994 and headquartered in Shahe, China, the company has established itself as a key player in the basic materials sector through its comprehensive product portfolio including carbon black, precipitated silica, and polyvinylidene fluoride. Longxing Chemical's carbon black products serve critical applications across multiple industries, particularly in tire manufacturing for all-steel and semi-steel radial tires, as well as automotive components like sealing strips, oil tubes, and brake pads. The company's products also find applications in rubber, building materials, electronics, plastics, paints, and chemical fibers, demonstrating broad industrial relevance. Operating in China's massive chemical industry, Longxing Chemical leverages its manufacturing expertise and the Longxing brand to maintain competitive positioning in both domestic and international markets. The company's strategic focus on specialty chemicals positions it to benefit from growing demand in automotive and industrial sectors, while navigating the cyclical nature of the chemical industry through product diversification and technological innovation.

Investment Summary

Longxing Chemical presents a mixed investment profile with several concerning financial indicators. While the company maintains a modest market capitalization of approximately CNY 3.17 billion and reported revenue of CNY 4.36 billion for the period, its negative operating cash flow of CNY -58.2 million raises liquidity concerns. The company's net income of CNY 142 million and diluted EPS of CNY 0.25 demonstrate profitability, but the significant capital expenditures of CNY -383.8 million indicate substantial ongoing investment requirements. With total debt of CNY 1.75 billion against cash equivalents of CNY 311 million, the company's leverage position warrants careful monitoring. The dividend payment of CNY 0.12 per share provides some shareholder return, but the combination of negative cash flow and high capital spending suggests potential financial strain. Investors should closely watch the company's ability to improve operational efficiency and cash generation in China's competitive chemical market.

Competitive Analysis

Longxing Chemical operates in the highly competitive global carbon black market, where it faces pressure from both domestic Chinese producers and international giants. The company's competitive positioning is primarily centered on its domestic market presence and product diversification into precipitated silica and polyvinylidene fluoride alongside its core carbon black business. This diversification provides some insulation against carbon black market cyclicality but also spreads resources across multiple product lines. Longxing's competitive advantages include its established manufacturing infrastructure in China, which benefits from proximity to key customers in the automotive and tire industries. However, the company faces significant challenges from larger competitors with greater scale, technological resources, and global distribution networks. The carbon black industry is characterized by intense price competition, particularly in standard-grade products, forcing manufacturers to compete on cost efficiency and product quality. Longxing's negative operating cash flow suggests potential operational inefficiencies compared to more financially stable competitors. The company's ability to compete effectively depends on maintaining cost competitiveness, investing in product innovation, and navigating environmental regulations that are increasingly stringent in China's chemical sector. While Longxing benefits from China's large domestic market, it must contend with overcapacity issues and fluctuating raw material costs that impact profitability across the industry.

Major Competitors

  • Ningxia Baota Chemical Fiber Co., Ltd. (600989.SS): As a Chinese carbon black producer, Baota Chemical competes directly with Longxing in the domestic market. The company benefits from vertical integration and scale advantages in certain product segments. However, both companies face similar challenges with environmental regulations and raw material cost volatility. Baota's competitive position relative to Longxing depends on regional market presence and customer relationships within China's fragmented carbon black industry.
  • Nantong Acetic Acid Chemical Co., Ltd. (603968.SS): While not a direct carbon black competitor, this chemical company operates in adjacent specialty chemical markets in China. Its strengths include diversified chemical product portfolio and established customer relationships. The company's weakness relative to Longxing is its lack of focus on carbon black specifically, but it represents competition for resources and market attention within China's broader chemical sector.
  • Cabot Corporation (CBT): As a global leader in specialty chemicals and performance materials, Cabot represents significant international competition with advanced technology and global distribution networks. The company's strengths include strong R&D capabilities, diverse product portfolio, and established relationships with multinational tire manufacturers. However, Cabot faces higher operating costs compared to Chinese producers like Longxing and may be less price-competitive in certain market segments within China.
  • Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. (ORI): Orion is a major global carbon black producer with strong technological capabilities and international presence. The company's strengths include specialty carbon black products commanding premium prices and global manufacturing footprint. Weaknesses include exposure to European market regulations and potentially higher cost structure compared to Chinese producers like Longxing. Orion competes with Longxing particularly in export markets and specialty product segments.
  • Phillips Carbon Black Limited (PHILCARB.NS): As one of India's largest carbon black producers, Phillips Carbon Black competes with Longxing in Asian export markets. The company benefits from growing domestic demand in India and cost-competitive manufacturing. However, it faces similar challenges with raw material costs and environmental compliance. Phillips' competitive position relative to Longxing depends on regional market dynamics and export competitiveness.
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