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Stock Analysis & ValuationCrown Holdings, Inc. (0I4X.L)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
£103.03
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, £Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)37.70-63
Intrinsic value (DCF)41.78-59
Graham-Dodd Method0.90-99
Graham Formula17.30-83

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Crown Holdings, Inc. (LSE: 0I4X) is a global leader in packaging solutions, specializing in steel and aluminum cans for the food and beverage industries, as well as industrial packaging products. Founded in 1892 and headquartered in Yardley, Pennsylvania, the company operates across the Americas, Europe, and the Asia Pacific, serving diverse sectors including consumer goods, metals, construction, and agriculture. Crown Holdings provides a comprehensive portfolio of packaging products, including glass bottles, steel crowns, aluminum caps, and industrial films, alongside equipment for end-of-line manufacturing applications. With a market capitalization of over $11.3 billion, Crown Holdings is a key player in the Packaging & Containers sector, leveraging its extensive manufacturing capabilities and global footprint to meet the evolving demands of consumer and industrial markets. The company’s commitment to innovation and sustainability positions it as a preferred partner for brands seeking efficient and eco-friendly packaging solutions.

Investment Summary

Crown Holdings presents a compelling investment case with its strong market position in the global packaging industry, diversified product portfolio, and consistent revenue generation ($11.8 billion in FY 2023). The company’s diluted EPS of $3.55 and operating cash flow of $1.19 billion reflect robust operational efficiency. However, investors should note the high total debt of $6.42 billion, which could pose risks in a rising interest rate environment. The company’s beta of 0.764 suggests lower volatility compared to the broader market, making it a relatively stable investment. Crown’s dividend yield, supported by a $1.27 per share payout, adds to its appeal for income-focused investors. Long-term growth prospects are tied to global packaging demand and sustainability trends, though competitive pressures and raw material cost fluctuations remain key challenges.

Competitive Analysis

Crown Holdings competes in the highly fragmented global packaging industry, where scale, innovation, and cost efficiency are critical. The company’s competitive advantage lies in its extensive manufacturing footprint, which enables it to serve multinational clients with localized solutions. Its expertise in metal packaging, particularly steel and aluminum cans, differentiates it from competitors focused on plastic or paper-based alternatives. Crown’s diversified product mix, spanning consumer and industrial packaging, mitigates sector-specific risks. However, the company faces intense competition from larger players with greater financial resources and smaller, niche competitors offering specialized solutions. Sustainability initiatives, such as lightweighting and recyclable packaging, are becoming key battlegrounds, and Crown’s ability to innovate in this space will be crucial. The company’s debt levels, while manageable, could limit flexibility in pursuing aggressive growth strategies compared to less leveraged peers. Overall, Crown’s strong brand, global reach, and technological capabilities position it well, but maintaining margins amid rising input costs and shifting consumer preferences will be critical.

Major Competitors

  • Ball Corporation (BLL): Ball Corporation is a major competitor with a strong focus on sustainable aluminum packaging for beverages and aerosols. Its larger scale and R&D investments give it an edge in innovation, but Crown’s broader industrial packaging portfolio provides diversification. Ball’s recent aerospace divestiture allows it to concentrate on packaging, intensifying competition in metal cans.
  • Avery Dennison Corporation (AVY): Avery Dennison specializes in labeling and functional materials, overlapping with Crown in industrial films and adhesives. Its strong brand and innovation in smart labeling are strengths, but it lacks Crown’s metal packaging expertise. Avery’s lower debt profile offers more financial flexibility.
  • Sonoco Products Company (SON): Sonoco is a diversified packaging player with a focus on paper and plastic solutions. Its strength in protective packaging complements Crown’s metal offerings, but Sonoco’s smaller global presence limits its reach. Sonoco’s consistent dividend history appeals to income investors.
  • Amcor plc (AMCR): Amcor is a global leader in flexible and rigid plastic packaging, competing with Crown in food and beverage segments. Its larger scale and sustainability commitments are strengths, but Crown’s metal packaging niche offers differentiation. Amcor’s recent acquisitions expand its capabilities but increase integration risks.
  • Berry Global Group, Inc. (BERY): Berry Global focuses on plastic packaging and has a broad product range overlapping with Crown’s industrial films. Its cost leadership and vertical integration are advantages, but Crown’s metal packaging expertise provides a unique market position. Berry’s higher leverage mirrors Crown’s financial structure.
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