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Stock Analysis & ValuationLeshan Electric Power Co.,Ltd (600644.SS)

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$11.37
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)22.5698
Intrinsic value (DCF)3.74-67
Graham-Dodd Method2.79-75
Graham Formula0.62-95

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Leshan Electric Power Co., Ltd. is a diversified utility company based in Leshan, China, serving as a critical infrastructure provider in Sichuan province. Founded in 1988 and listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, the company operates primarily in regulated electric power distribution while expanding into complementary sectors including natural gas distribution, tap water services, sewage treatment, hotel services, and photovoltaic new energy projects. As a regional utility player, Leshan Electric Power benefits from stable, regulated revenue streams from its core electricity operations while strategically diversifying into growth areas like renewable energy. The company's integrated utility model positions it to capitalize on China's ongoing urbanization and energy transition initiatives. With operations spanning multiple essential services, Leshan Electric Power plays a vital role in the regional economic ecosystem, providing reliable infrastructure to both residential and commercial customers while maintaining a focus on sustainable development through its photovoltaic investments.

Investment Summary

Leshan Electric Power presents a mixed investment profile characterized by stable regulated utility revenues offset by modest profitability and limited growth prospects. The company's 0.717 beta indicates lower volatility than the broader market, typical of utility stocks, while its diversified operations across electricity, gas, water, and renewable energy provide some revenue stability. However, concerning metrics include minimal net income margins (0.7% of revenue), zero dividend distribution despite positive earnings, and negative free cash flow after accounting for capital expenditures. The company's modest market capitalization of approximately CNY 6.6 billion positions it as a small-cap utility, potentially limiting institutional investor interest. While the regulated nature of its core business provides revenue predictability, investors should note the company's thin profitability, significant capital expenditure requirements, and exposure to regional economic conditions in Sichuan province.

Competitive Analysis

Leshan Electric Power operates in a highly fragmented Chinese utility market where competition is primarily regional rather than national. The company's competitive position is defined by its geographic monopoly in electricity distribution within its service territory, a characteristic of China's regulated utility framework. This provides a stable revenue base but limits growth opportunities to regional economic expansion and regulatory-approved rate increases. The company's diversification into natural gas, water, and sewage treatment creates cross-selling opportunities and operational synergies, though each of these sectors faces its own regulatory constraints and competitive dynamics. The photovoltaic new energy segment represents a strategic growth initiative aligned with national renewable energy policies, but Leshan faces intense competition from specialized solar developers and larger state-owned enterprises with greater financial resources. The company's relatively small scale compared to national utility giants limits its ability to achieve economies of scale in procurement and operations. Its competitive advantage lies in its entrenched position as the primary utility provider in its service area, regulatory protections, and integrated service model that creates customer stickiness. However, this must be balanced against the challenges of operating multiple utility businesses simultaneously without the scale advantages of larger competitors.

Major Competitors

  • China Huaneng Group Co., Ltd. (600011.SS): As one of China's Big Five power generators, Huaneng possesses massive scale and national operations that dwarf Leshan's regional presence. The company benefits from diversified power generation assets including thermal, hydro, and renewable energy. However, its enormous size creates bureaucratic inefficiencies and less flexibility compared to regional players like Leshan. Huaneng's national footprint provides diversification benefits but also exposes it to broader market dynamics rather than protected regional monopolies.
  • Huadian Power International Corporation Limited (600027.SS): Another major state-owned power producer with extensive generation assets across China. Huadian benefits from significant government backing and economies of scale in power generation. The company has been aggressively expanding its renewable energy portfolio. However, unlike Leshan which operates distribution networks, Huadian focuses primarily on generation, creating different business models and regulatory exposures. Its larger scale comes with greater complexity and less regional focus.
  • Guangdong Electric Power Development Co., Ltd. (000539.SZ): A regional power company similar to Leshan but operating in the more economically developed Guangdong province. Guangdong Electric benefits from serving a wealthier industrial and residential customer base, potentially supporting higher profitability. The company has been active in renewable energy development. However, it faces more competitive pressure in its region compared to Leshan's more protected Sichuan market. Its larger scale provides better resources for expansion but similar regulatory constraints.
  • GD Power Development Co., Ltd. (600795.SS): A major independent power producer with assets across multiple provinces. GD Power has significant scale advantages and diversified generation portfolio including thermal, wind, and solar power. The company benefits from professional management and operational efficiency. However, as primarily a generation company, it lacks Leshan's integrated distribution business and regional monopoly protections. Its larger size provides financial strength but also greater exposure to national power market reforms.
  • Inner Mongolia Mengdian Huaneng Thermal Power Corporation Limited (600863.SS): A regional power company focused on Inner Mongolia, similar to Leshan's regional approach but with different geographic advantages. The company benefits from low-cost coal resources in its region and strong wind power potential. However, it faces transmission constraints for exporting power to demand centers. Compared to Leshan, Mengdian has stronger generation assets but less diversified utility operations beyond electricity.
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