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Stock Analysis & ValuationGENDA Inc. (9166.T)

Professional Stock Screener
Previous Close
¥670.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, ¥Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)553.15-17
Intrinsic value (DCF)490482.2773106
Graham-Dodd Method216.94-68
Graham Formula2212.76230

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

GENDA Inc. (9166.T) is a leading Japanese amusement arcade operator, primarily known for its GiGO brand. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Tokyo, the company specializes in arcade gaming, amusement machine leasing, online crane games, sales promotions, and character licensing. Operating in the consumer cyclical sector, GENDA capitalizes on Japan's vibrant gaming and entertainment culture, offering immersive experiences through its arcades. The company has rapidly expanded its footprint, leveraging strategic acquisitions and innovative gaming concepts to attract a broad demographic. With a market cap of approximately ¥154.7 billion, GENDA is positioned as a key player in Japan's leisure industry. Its diversified revenue streams, including digital and physical gaming, provide resilience against market fluctuations. As Japan's entertainment sector evolves, GENDA's focus on experiential gaming and licensing partnerships strengthens its competitive edge.

Investment Summary

GENDA Inc. presents a high-risk, high-reward investment opportunity within Japan's amusement arcade sector. The company's revenue of ¥111.8 billion and net income of ¥3.3 billion reflect strong operational performance, though its high beta (1.69) indicates significant volatility. GENDA's aggressive expansion strategy, including acquisitions and digital gaming ventures, enhances growth potential but also increases financial leverage (total debt of ¥51.3 billion). The lack of dividends suggests reinvestment in growth, appealing to capital appreciation-focused investors. However, reliance on discretionary consumer spending exposes GENDA to economic downturns. Positive operating cash flow (¥8.9 billion) supports liquidity, but substantial capital expenditures (¥11.3 billion) may pressure short-term profitability. Investors should weigh GENDA's market leadership against sector cyclicality and competitive intensity.

Competitive Analysis

GENDA Inc. competes in Japan's crowded amusement arcade market by differentiating through brand strength (GiGO), diversified revenue streams, and digital integration. Its acquisition strategy, including the purchase of SEGA's arcade division, consolidates market share and enhances economies of scale. Unlike traditional arcade operators, GENDA leverages online crane games and character licensing, broadening its audience beyond physical locations. However, the company faces intense competition from established players like Round One and smaller regional arcades. GENDA's competitive advantage lies in its modernized arcade concepts and partnerships with popular IPs, attracting younger demographics. Yet, high fixed costs (leasing, maintenance) and dependence on foot traffic pose risks. The shift toward digital entertainment also challenges traditional arcade models, requiring GENDA to innovate continuously. Its ability to monetize digital platforms and expand internationally will be critical for long-term dominance.

Major Competitors

  • Round One Corporation (4680.T): Round One operates amusement centers (bowling, arcades) across Japan and the U.S., offering diversified entertainment options. Its larger scale (¥200+ billion market cap) and U.S. presence provide geographic diversification, but higher operational complexity may dilute margins. Compared to GENDA, Round One has slower digital adoption but stronger brand recognition in family entertainment.
  • SEGA Sammy Holdings Inc. (6460.T): SEGA Sammy, a legacy gaming conglomerate, combines arcade operations with content development (e.g., Sonic). Its integrated model (hardware/software) offers synergies but lacks GENDA's focus on arcade modernization. SEGA's recent divestment of arcades to GENDA signals strategic repositioning, potentially ceding physical arcade dominance to GENDA.
  • Capcom Co., Ltd. (9697.T): Capcom is a gaming software giant (Resident Evil, Street Fighter) with limited arcade operations. Its strength lies in IP monetization, contrasting with GENDA's asset-heavy model. While not a direct competitor, Capcom's digital focus highlights the industry shift GENDA must navigate to sustain growth.
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