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Stock Analysis & ValuationBancFirst Corporation (BANF)

Previous Close
$133.54
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)34.73-74
Intrinsic value (DCF)107.28-20
Graham-Dodd Method50.04-63
Graham Formula129.60-3
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Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

BancFirst Corporation (NASDAQ: BANF) is a leading regional bank holding company headquartered in Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, providing a comprehensive suite of commercial banking services to retail customers and small-to-medium-sized businesses. Operating through its Metropolitan Banks, Community Banks, Pegasus Bank, and Other Financial Services segments, BancFirst offers a diverse range of financial products, including checking and savings accounts, commercial and consumer loans, trust services, and cash management solutions. With a strong presence in Oklahoma and a growing footprint in Texas, the company operates 108 banking locations, emphasizing personalized service in non-metropolitan and metropolitan markets. BancFirst’s diversified revenue streams include interest income from loans and investments, fee-based services, and insurance operations, reinforcing its resilience in varying economic conditions. As a trusted financial partner, BancFirst plays a pivotal role in Oklahoma’s economic growth, supporting local businesses and communities with tailored financial solutions.

Investment Summary

BancFirst Corporation presents a stable investment opportunity with its strong regional presence, consistent profitability, and conservative risk profile. The bank’s diluted EPS of $6.44 and net income of $216.4 million in the latest fiscal year reflect efficient operations and disciplined underwriting. Its low beta (0.787) suggests lower volatility compared to broader markets, appealing to risk-averse investors. However, its regional concentration in Oklahoma exposes it to localized economic risks, including energy sector fluctuations. The dividend yield (~2.8% based on a $1.81 annual payout) adds income appeal, but investors should monitor potential margin pressures from rising interest rates and competition. BancFirst’s solid liquidity ($237.8M cash) and manageable debt ($86.2M) underscore financial stability, though growth may be constrained by its geographic focus.

Competitive Analysis

BancFirst’s competitive advantage lies in its deep-rooted community banking model, combining localized decision-making with the scale of a $4.1B market cap institution. Its extensive branch network across Oklahoma fosters customer loyalty, while niche services like energy lending and municipal bond trusteeship differentiate it from larger national banks. The company’s low-cost deposit base (evidenced by its 108 branches in often less competitive rural markets) supports net interest margins. However, its regional focus limits diversification compared to multi-state peers, and its digital banking capabilities may lag behind tech-forward competitors. BancFirst’s acquisition of Pegasus Bank (Dallas) signals strategic expansion, but execution risks remain. Competitively, it outperforms smaller community banks in operational efficiency but lacks the pricing power and product breadth of national players like BOK Financial.

Major Competitors

  • BOK Financial Corporation (BOKF): BOKF (Market cap: ~$5.7B) is a larger regional peer with a broader geographic footprint across the Southwest. It excels in energy lending and treasury services but faces higher operational complexity. BancFirst’s lower cost-to-income ratio gives it an efficiency edge.
  • City Holding Company (CHCO): CHCO (Market cap: ~$1.5B) operates in similar regional markets (West Virginia, Kentucky). It shares BancFirst’s community banking focus but lacks BancFirst’s scale in Oklahoma. Both banks emphasize low-risk lending, but CHCO has weaker fee-income diversification.
  • International Bancshares Corporation (IBOC): IBOC (Market cap: ~$3.2B) dominates Texas markets, overlapping with BancFirst’s Dallas expansion. IBOC’s stronger Hispanic market penetration and cross-border services contrast with BancFirst’s Oklahoma-centric model. BancFirst’s trust services provide a counterbalance.
  • Globe Life Inc. (GL): While not a direct competitor (GL is an insurer), it highlights BancFirst’s insurance agency segment competition. GL’s national scale dwarfs BancFirst’s localized offerings, but BancFirst benefits from integrated banking-insurance cross-selling.
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