DE · BSP.DE
BAE Systems plc
- Sector
- Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
- Headquarters
- Farnborough GU14 6YU
- Website
- baesystems.com
Price · as of 2025-12-31
$23.74
Market cap 74.47B
Valuation summary
Four models, one snapshot. Upside is target ÷ current − 1.
| Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
|---|---|---|
| Artificial Intelligence(AI) | $38.70 | +63.02% |
| Intrinsic Value(DCF) | $11.44 | -51.81% |
| Graham-Dodd Method(GD) | $2.60 | -89.05% |
| Graham Formula(GF) | $12.30 | -48.19% |
Valuation history
Annual price (USD per share) overlaid with each model's fair value. Y-axis is log scale.
| Year | Price | AI | DCF | Graham-Dodd | Graham Formula |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | $2.45 | $28.99 | $1.05 | $0.50 | $0.00 |
| 2012 | $2.58 | $28.74 | $0.63 | $0.00 | $0.80 |
| 2013 | $2.72 | $28.50 | $0.46 | $0.00 | $0.60 |
| 2014 | $5.68 | $30.59 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| 2015 | $4.99 | $30.79 | $0.38 | $0.00 | $5.50 |
| 2016 | $5.85 | $31.34 | $0.70 | $0.00 | $4.60 |
| 2017 | $5.58 | $31.23 | $1.10 | $0.00 | $1.60 |
| 2018 | $5.39 | $30.41 | $1.37 | $0.00 | $2.10 |
| 2019 | $5.78 | $31.40 | $1.22 | $0.00 | $8.80 |
| 2020 | $5.22 | $29.17 | $0.86 | $0.00 | $6.20 |
| 2021 | $8.02 | $31.95 | $1.88 | $0.00 | $5.90 |
| 2022 | $10.08 | $32.60 | $1.25 | $0.00 | $9.70 |
| 2023 | $14.48 | $35.75 | $1.92 | $0.00 | $11.30 |
| 2024 | $18.65 | $35.35 | $3.95 | $0.00 | $15.80 |
| 2025 | $25.59 | $33.78 | $5.12 | $2.60 | $12.30 |
AI valuation
Our deep-learning model estimates BAE Systems plc's (BSP.DE) per-share fair value from quarterly fundamentals, sector trend, and historical valuation patterns.
- AI fair value
- $38.70
- Current price
- $23.74
- AI upside
- +63.02%
Methodology and confidence bands appear in the dedicated valuation theory section. The AI score is an estimate, not a recommendation.
Intrinsic value (DCF)
Open DCF calculatorThree textbook valuation models, recomputed daily from the latest financial statements. The DCF uses our Chepakovich model. Graham-Dodd and Graham Formula are conservative reference points.
DCF
$11.44
-51.81% upside
Graham-Dodd
$2.60
-89.05% upside
Graham Formula
$12.30
-48.19% upside
About BAE Systems plc
BAE Systems plc provides defense, aerospace, and security solutions worldwide. The company operates through five segments: Electronic Systems, Cyber & Intelligence, Platforms & Services (US), Air, and Maritime. The Electronic Systems segment offers electronic warfare systems, navigation systems, electro-optical sensors, military and commercial digital engine and flight controls, precision guidance and seeker solutions, military communication systems and data links, persistent surveillance systems, space electronics, and electric drive propulsion systems. The Cyber & Intelligence segment provides solutions to modernize, maintain, and test cyber-harden aircraft, radars, missile systems, and mission applications that detect and deter threats to national security; systems engineering, integration, and sustainment services for critical weapons systems, C5ISR, and cyber security; and solutions and services to intelligence and federal/civilian agencies. It also offers data intelligence solutions to defend against national-scale threats, protect their networks, and data against attacks; security and intelligence solutions to the United Kingdom government and allied international governments; anti-fraud and regulatory compliance solutions; and enterprise-level data and digital services. The Platforms & Services (US) segment manufactures combat vehicles, weapons, and munitions, as well as provides ship repair services and the management of government-owned munitions facilities. The Air segment develops, manufactures, upgrades, and supports combat and jet trainer aircraft. The Maritime segment designs, manufactures, and supports surface ships, submarines, torpedoes, radars, and command and combat systems; and supplies naval gun systems. It also supplies naval weapon systems, missile launchers, and precision munitions. The company was founded in 1970 and is based in Farnborough, the United Kingdom.
- CEO
- Charles Nicholas Woodburn
- Employees
- 107.4K
- Beta
- -0.01
Disclaimer: Information on this page is provided for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Upside computed as ($11.44 ÷ $23.74) − 1 = -51.81% (DCF, example).