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Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE)

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$9.59
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)49.45416
Intrinsic value (DCF)0.00-100
Graham-Dodd Method3.60-62
Graham Formula5.28-45

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Coeur Mining, Inc. (NYSE: CDE) is a leading precious metals producer focused on gold and silver mining operations across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. With a diversified portfolio of high-quality assets, including the Palmarejo (Mexico), Rochester (Nevada), Kensington (Alaska), Wharf (South Dakota), and Silvertip (British Columbia) mines, Coeur Mining leverages its extensive mineral reserves to generate stable cash flows. The company also holds strategic exploration projects like Crown, Sterling (Nevada), and La Preciosa (Mexico), positioning it for long-term growth. Operating in the Basic Materials sector, Coeur Mining plays a critical role in the global gold and silver supply chain, catering to industrial and investment demand. Its vertically integrated approach—from exploration to production and off-take agreements—enhances operational efficiency. Headquartered in Chicago, Coeur Mining has a nearly century-long legacy in the mining industry, underpinned by a commitment to sustainable and responsible mining practices.

Investment Summary

Coeur Mining presents a mixed investment profile. On the positive side, its diversified asset base across stable jurisdictions (U.S., Canada, Mexico) mitigates geopolitical risks, while rising gold and silver prices could boost profitability. The company’s revenue of $1.05B (latest reported) and positive net income ($58.9M) reflect operational stability. However, challenges include high capital expenditures ($183M) relative to operating cash flow ($174M), indicating tight liquidity. The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors, and its leveraged balance sheet (total debt of $602M vs. cash reserves of $55M) raises concerns about financial flexibility. The stock’s beta of 1.24 suggests higher volatility than the broader market, making it suitable for risk-tolerant investors bullish on precious metals.

Competitive Analysis

Coeur Mining’s competitive advantage lies in its geographically diversified portfolio of producing mines and exploration projects, reducing reliance on any single asset. Its Palmarejo and Rochester operations are key revenue drivers, with the latter benefiting from expansion initiatives to increase silver recovery. The company’s focus on cost optimization—evidenced by improving all-in sustaining costs (AISC) in recent years—enhances margins in a cyclical commodity market. However, Coeur lags behind larger peers like Newmont and Barrick in scale and profitability. Its mid-tier status limits economies of scale, and operational hiccups (e.g., lower grades at Kensington) can disproportionately impact earnings. Unlike royalty/streaming companies, Coeur bears full operational risks, exposing it to cost inflation and permitting delays. Its competitive positioning is further strained by reliance on third-party smelters for concentrate sales, which introduces pricing volatility. Strategic exploration investments, such as Silvertip’s high-grade silver-zinc-lead deposits, could differentiate Coeur if successfully developed.

Major Competitors

  • Newmont Corporation (NEM): Newmont (NYSE: NEM) is the world’s largest gold producer, with unmatched scale and low-cost operations. Its diversified global portfolio and strong balance sheet provide stability, but its size can limit growth agility compared to mid-tier players like Coeur.
  • Barrick Gold Corporation (GOLD): Barrick (NYSE: GOLD) boasts high-margin mines and a focus on Tier-1 assets, giving it superior profitability. Its joint venture in Nevada (with Newmont) dominates U.S. production, overshadowing Coeur’s Rochester mine in the same region.
  • First Majestic Silver Corp. (AG): First Majestic (NYSE: AG) is a pure-play silver miner with operations in Mexico, competing directly with Coeur’s Palmarejo mine. Its aggressive cost-cutting measures pose a threat, but reliance on a single commodity increases volatility.
  • Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS): Pan American (NASDAQ: PAAS) operates larger silver reserves than Coeur and maintains a robust liquidity position. However, its recent acquisition of Yamana Gold adds integration risks, potentially creating openings for Coeur in niche markets.
  • Hecla Mining Company (HL): Hecla (NYSE: HL) is a low-cost U.S.-focused silver producer with the Lucky Friday mine. Its strong free cash flow generation contrasts with Coeur’s higher capex burden, but Hecla’s smaller asset base limits diversification.
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