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Stock Analysis & ValuationCerillion Plc (CER.L)

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£1,700.00
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, £Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)770.15-55
Intrinsic value (DCF)746.87-56
Graham-Dodd Method2.36-100
Graham Formula9.94-99

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Cerillion Plc (LSE: CER.L) is a leading provider of billing, charging, and customer relationship management (CRM) software solutions tailored for the telecommunications sector. Headquartered in London, the company serves clients globally with its comprehensive Cerillion Enterprise BSS/OSS Suite and Cerillion Skyline, a cloud-based SaaS billing platform. Specializing in 5G monetization, digital transformation, and IoT solutions, Cerillion enables telecom operators to streamline operations, enhance customer experiences, and drive revenue growth. The company operates across four segments—Services, Software, SaaS, and Third-Party—offering integrated solutions for subscription management, network inventory, and real-time analytics. Founded in 1999, Cerillion has established itself as a trusted partner for telecom providers navigating the complexities of multi-play services, MVNO/MVNE ecosystems, and next-gen connectivity. With a strong focus on innovation and scalability, Cerillion is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for agile billing and CRM solutions in the rapidly evolving telecom industry.

Investment Summary

Cerillion Plc presents an attractive investment opportunity due to its niche focus on telecom billing and CRM software, a sector with high barriers to entry and recurring revenue potential. The company's strong financials, including a healthy net income of £15.3 million and robust operating cash flow of £11.2 million in the latest fiscal year, underscore its profitability. With a debt-to-equity ratio indicating prudent financial management and a dividend yield appealing to income-focused investors, Cerillion demonstrates stability. However, risks include reliance on the telecom sector's capital expenditure cycles and competition from larger enterprise software providers. The stock's low beta (0.621) suggests lower volatility relative to the market, making it a potentially defensive play in the technology sector.

Competitive Analysis

Cerillion Plc competes in the telecom BSS/OSS (Business Support Systems/Operations Support Systems) software market, where its key competitive advantage lies in its pre-integrated, end-to-end solutions tailored for telecom operators. Unlike generic CRM providers, Cerillion’s deep domain expertise allows it to address complex billing scenarios, such as 5G monetization and multi-play service bundling, with greater efficiency. The company’s SaaS offering, Cerillion Skyline, positions it well in the shift toward cloud-based solutions, competing against legacy on-premise providers. However, Cerillion faces competition from larger players like Amdocs and Netcracker, which have broader product portfolios and greater global reach. Cerillion’s smaller size enables agility and customization, but it may lack the resources for large-scale R&D or M&A compared to these rivals. Its focus on mid-tier telecom operators—rather than Tier 1 carriers—allows it to avoid direct competition with hyperscalers like Oracle or Microsoft, which target enterprise-wide deployments. The company’s strong presence in the UK and Europe provides a stable revenue base, but international expansion remains a challenge against entrenched competitors in North America and Asia.

Major Competitors

  • Amdocs Limited (DOX): Amdocs is a global leader in telecom software, offering a broader suite of BSS/OSS solutions compared to Cerillion. Its strengths include extensive R&D resources and long-term contracts with Tier 1 carriers. However, its size can lead to slower innovation cycles, and its solutions are often more expensive, giving Cerillion an edge with mid-market operators.
  • Netcracker Technology (NCR): A subsidiary of NEC, Netcracker provides end-to-end digital transformation solutions for telecoms. Its strengths lie in its parent company’s infrastructure expertise and global reach. However, as a private company, it lacks transparency, and its focus on large-scale deployments may leave room for Cerillion in niche markets.
  • Oracle Corporation (ORCL): Oracle’s telecom offerings are part of its broader enterprise software portfolio, giving it cross-selling opportunities. Its cloud infrastructure is a strength, but its telecom-specific solutions are less specialized than Cerillion’s, and its pricing model may be less attractive to smaller operators.
  • Cisco Systems (CSCO): Cisco’s strength lies in network infrastructure, but it offers adjacent BSS/OSS solutions through acquisitions like BroadSoft. Its telecom focus is more hardware-centric, creating opportunities for Cerillion in pure-play software. However, Cisco’s brand recognition poses a competitive threat in bundled deals.
  • Ericsson (ERIC): Ericsson’s OSS/BSS solutions are tied to its 5G infrastructure business, giving it an advantage in integrated deployments. However, its software is often seen as less flexible than Cerillion’s, and its recent financial struggles have impacted R&D in non-core areas.
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