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First Solar, Inc. (FSLR)

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$185.03
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)83.47-55
Intrinsic value (DCF)8.48-95
Graham-Dodd Method134.65-27
Graham Formula407.66120

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

First Solar, Inc. (NASDAQ: FSLR) is a leading global provider of photovoltaic (PV) solar energy solutions, specializing in the design, manufacture, and sale of cadmium telluride (CdTe) thin-film solar modules. Headquartered in Tempe, Arizona, First Solar serves a diverse customer base, including utilities, independent power producers, commercial and industrial firms, and system developers across the U.S., Japan, France, Canada, India, and Australia. Founded in 1999, the company has established itself as a key player in the renewable energy sector, leveraging its proprietary thin-film technology to deliver high-efficiency, low-cost solar solutions. First Solar’s vertically integrated manufacturing process and focus on sustainability position it as a competitive force in the rapidly growing solar energy market. With increasing global demand for clean energy, First Solar is well-positioned to capitalize on favorable regulatory trends and the transition toward decarbonization.

Investment Summary

First Solar presents a compelling investment opportunity due to its strong market position in the solar energy sector, differentiated thin-film technology, and robust financial performance. The company reported $4.2 billion in revenue and $1.3 billion in net income for the latest fiscal year, with diluted EPS of $12.02. Its operating cash flow of $1.2 billion and solid balance sheet ($1.6 billion in cash vs. $718.8 million in debt) underscore financial stability. However, risks include exposure to regulatory changes, competition from Chinese solar manufacturers, and capital-intensive operations (evidenced by $1.5 billion in capex). The lack of dividends may deter income-focused investors, but growth-oriented investors may find value in its technological edge and expanding global footprint.

Competitive Analysis

First Solar’s primary competitive advantage lies in its proprietary cadmium telluride (CdTe) thin-film solar technology, which offers cost and performance benefits over traditional crystalline silicon (c-Si) panels, particularly in hot and humid climates. The company’s vertically integrated manufacturing model enhances supply chain control and reduces reliance on external suppliers, a critical differentiator amid global semiconductor shortages. First Solar also benefits from strong U.S. policy support, including the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA), which incentivizes domestic solar production. However, competition from low-cost Chinese manufacturers like JinkoSolar and LONGi remains intense, pressuring margins. Additionally, while First Solar’s thin-film modules have efficiency trade-offs compared to high-end c-Si panels, their lower degradation rates and superior temperature coefficients make them attractive for utility-scale projects. The company’s focus on sustainability (including module recycling programs) further strengthens its ESG appeal, a growing priority for investors and customers alike.

Major Competitors

  • JinkoSolar Holding Co., Ltd. (JKS): JinkoSolar is a leading global solar module manufacturer known for high-efficiency crystalline silicon panels. It benefits from economies of scale and strong presence in China but faces geopolitical risks due to U.S.-China trade tensions. Unlike First Solar, JinkoSolar relies on c-Si technology, which is more efficient but less cost-competitive in certain environments.
  • LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. (LONGi): LONGi dominates the monocrystalline silicon solar market with industry-leading efficiency. Its strength lies in R&D and vertical integration, but it lacks First Solar’s thin-film differentiation. LONGi’s reliance on the Chinese supply chain exposes it to trade barriers, whereas First Solar benefits from U.S. manufacturing incentives.
  • Canadian Solar Inc. (CSIQ): Canadian Solar offers a diversified product portfolio, including c-Si modules and energy storage solutions. It competes with First Solar in utility-scale projects but lacks proprietary thin-film technology. Its global manufacturing footprint provides flexibility, but margins are thinner due to intense pricing competition.
  • SunPower Corporation (SPWR): SunPower focuses on high-efficiency residential and commercial solar systems, a niche distinct from First Solar’s utility-scale emphasis. Its Maxeon technology leads in efficiency but struggles with higher costs. SunPower’s restructuring efforts pose execution risks, whereas First Solar has a more stable financial profile.
  • Enphase Energy, Inc. (ENPH): Enphase specializes in microinverters and energy management systems, complementing rather than directly competing with First Solar’s modules. Its technology is critical for distributed solar but does not overlap with First Solar’s large-scale CdTe offerings. Enphase’s premium valuation reflects its growth in residential solar, a segment First Solar avoids.
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