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Stock Analysis & ValuationThe Coca-Cola Company (KO.SW)

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CHF49.63
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Low
Valuation methodValue, CHFUpside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)39.90-20
Intrinsic value (DCF)28.17-43
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formula21.50-57

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

The Coca-Cola Company (KO.SW) is a global leader in the non-alcoholic beverage industry, renowned for its iconic Coca-Cola brand and a diverse portfolio of over 200 brands. Headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, Coca-Cola operates in more than 200 countries, offering sparkling soft drinks, flavored waters, sports drinks, juices, dairy alternatives, teas, coffees, and energy drinks. The company's business model relies on a vast network of independent bottling partners, distributors, and retailers, ensuring widespread market penetration. As a dominant player in the consumer defensive sector, Coca-Cola benefits from strong brand loyalty, extensive distribution channels, and consistent demand for its products. With sustainability initiatives and innovation in low- and no-sugar beverages, Coca-Cola remains a resilient investment in the evolving beverage market.

Investment Summary

Coca-Cola presents a stable investment opportunity due to its strong brand equity, global reach, and consistent dividend payouts. With a market cap of $213.8 billion and a beta of 0.62, it is a low-volatility stock suitable for conservative investors. The company reported $47.1 billion in revenue and $10.6 billion in net income for the latest fiscal year, with an EPS of $2.46. However, its high total debt of $44.5 billion and reliance on sugary beverages in a health-conscious market pose risks. Long-term growth depends on successful diversification into healthier alternatives and emerging markets.

Competitive Analysis

Coca-Cola maintains a competitive edge through its unparalleled brand recognition, extensive distribution network, and economies of scale. Its global presence allows it to leverage regional preferences while maintaining a consistent core product lineup. The company’s direct-to-consumer and bottler-partner model ensures efficient logistics and market penetration. However, Coca-Cola faces increasing competition from health-focused beverage companies and private-label brands. Its reliance on carbonated soft drinks, which are declining in some markets, is a vulnerability. To counter this, Coca-Cola has expanded into water, sports drinks, and plant-based beverages through acquisitions like Topo Chico and fairlife. While its marketing prowess and innovation pipeline are strengths, regulatory pressures on sugar content and plastic waste remain challenges. Competitors like PepsiCo benefit from a more diversified snack and beverage portfolio, while niche players like Monster Beverage dominate the energy drink segment.

Major Competitors

  • PepsiCo (PEP): PepsiCo is Coca-Cola’s primary rival, with a broader portfolio that includes snacks (Frito-Lay) alongside beverages. Its diversification provides resilience against shifts in beverage demand. However, PepsiCo’s beverage division trails Coca-Cola in global brand recognition and market share in sparkling drinks. Both companies compete aggressively in marketing and distribution.
  • Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST): Monster dominates the energy drink sector, where Coca-Cola competes through brands like BODYARMOR. Monster’s focus on high-growth energy drinks gives it an edge in this niche, but it lacks Coca-Cola’s diversified portfolio and global infrastructure.
  • Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP): Keurig Dr Pepper combines coffee (Keurig) and soft drinks (Dr Pepper), posing competition in North America. Its strength lies in coffee systems, but it lacks Coca-Cola’s international reach and brand power in sparkling beverages.
  • Danone (DPSGY): Danone competes in bottled water, dairy alternatives, and functional beverages. Its health-focused portfolio aligns with current trends, but it lacks Coca-Cola’s scale in carbonated drinks and global distribution.
  • Nestlé (NESTLE.SW): Nestlé competes in bottled water (Perrier, S.Pellegrino), ready-to-drink coffee (Nescafé), and plant-based beverages. Its strong R&D capabilities and health-focused products challenge Coca-Cola, but it has a smaller presence in sparkling soft drinks.
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