Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
---|---|---|
Artificial intelligence (AI) | 71.93 | -32 |
Intrinsic value (DCF) | n/a | |
Graham-Dodd Method | n/a | |
Graham Formula | 10.91 | -90 |
Tapestry, Inc. (NYSE: TPR) is a leading global luxury fashion holding company renowned for its iconic brands—Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. Specializing in premium accessories, footwear, and lifestyle products, Tapestry operates in the high-end consumer cyclical sector, catering to fashion-conscious consumers in North America, Greater China, Japan, and other international markets. The company’s diversified portfolio includes handbags, small leather goods, jewelry, fragrances, and ready-to-wear apparel, sold through a mix of direct retail stores, e-commerce platforms, and wholesale partnerships. With a strong digital presence and over 1,400 stores worldwide, Tapestry leverages brand heritage, innovation, and omnichannel strategies to drive growth. Its acquisition strategy, including the 2023 planned purchase of Capri Holdings (parent of Michael Kors), aims to solidify its position in the competitive luxury goods market. Tapestry’s focus on sustainability, digital transformation, and expanding in high-growth Asian markets underscores its long-term vision.
Tapestry presents a compelling investment case with its strong brand equity, diversified luxury portfolio, and robust cash flow generation. The company’s high operating margins (~17% in FY2023) and consistent dividend yield (~3.5%) appeal to income-focused investors. However, risks include exposure to discretionary consumer spending (evidenced by its beta of 1.43), debt levels (~$8.8B), and integration challenges from the Capri Holdings acquisition. Growth in China (20% of revenue) remains a key driver but is sensitive to economic conditions. Valuation appears reasonable at ~10x P/E, but sector competition and inflationary pressures on costs warrant caution.
Tapestry competes in the accessible luxury segment, differentiating itself through multi-brand diversification (unlike single-brand rivals like Capri) and a price-positioning bridge between premium (e.g., Tory Burch) and high-luxury (e.g., LVMH). Coach’s heritage in leather goods provides durability against fast-fashion entrants, while Kate Spade’s playful aesthetics capture younger demographics. Stuart Weitzman’s footwear specialization complements the portfolio but lags behind leaders like Jimmy Choo. Tapestry’s vertical integration (control over design, manufacturing, and distribution) enhances margin stability. Its direct-to-consumer focus (75% of sales) outperforms wholesale-dependent peers, though digital penetration (~30% of sales) trails pure-play e-commerce competitors. The Capri acquisition would expand scale but risks brand dilution. Regional diversification (45% international sales) mitigates U.S. cyclicality but exposes the firm to forex volatility. Sustainability initiatives (e.g., Coach’s circularity program) align with luxury sector trends but lack the depth of European peers’ commitments.