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Compass Diversified (CODI)

Previous Close
$6.27
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)40.83551
Intrinsic value (DCF)20.84232
Graham-Dodd Methodn/a
Graham Formula2.48-60

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Compass Diversified (NYSE: CODI) is a publicly traded private equity firm specializing in acquiring and managing a diversified portfolio of middle-market businesses across niche industrial and branded consumer sectors. Founded in 2005 and headquartered in Westport, Connecticut, CODI focuses on companies with EBITDA between $15 million and $80 million, typically investing $100 million to $800 million for majority stakes. The firm targets industries such as manufacturing, distribution, safety & security, electronic components, and foodservice, primarily in North America. CODI's unique structure allows it to hold investments for five to seven years, providing operational support to drive growth. As a publicly traded entity, it offers investors exposure to private equity-like returns with the liquidity of a stock. With a market cap of approximately $554 million, CODI combines long-term capital appreciation with a steady dividend yield, making it an attractive option for income and growth investors seeking diversified industrial and consumer sector exposure.

Investment Summary

Compass Diversified presents a mixed investment profile. On the positive side, its diversified portfolio across resilient industrial and consumer niches mitigates sector-specific risks, while its focus on middle-market acquisitions offers growth potential. The firm's 1.246 beta suggests moderate volatility relative to the market, and its $1 annual dividend per share provides a yield appeal. However, risks include high leverage (total debt of ~$1.77 billion against $59.7 million cash), negative operating cash flow (-$67.6 million), and reliance on successful acquisitions for growth. The conglomerate structure may also lead to valuation discounts. Investors should weigh its private equity-style returns against execution risks in a higher interest rate environment.

Competitive Analysis

Compass Diversified differentiates itself through a hybrid model blending private equity strategies with public market liquidity—a rare structure among peers. Its competitive edge lies in targeting underserved middle-market companies ($15M-$80M EBITDA), where larger PE firms rarely compete. CODI's hands-on approach (providing operational support to portfolio companies) contrasts with passive holding companies, potentially driving higher margins. However, its conglomerate nature lacks the sector focus of pure-play industrials or consumer funds, which may limit synergies. The firm's high debt load could constrain acquisition flexibility compared to better-capitalized competitors. Its long holding period (5-7 years) aligns with traditional PE but may lag more agile competitors in cyclical turns. CODI's success hinges on identifying undervalued niche leaders—a strength in fragmented industries but a risk if acquisition multiples remain elevated. Its public listing provides permanent capital (avoiding PE fund lifecycles), though the stock trades at a discount to NAV, reflecting investor skepticism about conglomerate complexity.

Major Competitors

  • Danaher Corporation (DHR): Danaher is a larger, more diversified industrials conglomerate with a strong M&A track record in life sciences and diagnostics. Its scale (~$190B market cap) and scientific focus contrast with CODI's middle-market approach. Danaher's superior cash flow supports higher R&D but lacks CODI's dividend focus.
  • Illinois Tool Works (ITW): ITW operates in similar industrial niches but with an organic growth focus (80+ decentralized business units). Its 3.2% dividend yield and AA- credit rating outshine CODI, but ITW avoids majority-stake acquisitions, limiting CODI-style upside.
  • Greif, Inc. (GEF): This industrial packaging leader overlaps with CODI's manufacturing exposure. Greif's stable cash flows (investment-grade rating) and global reach contrast with CODI's higher-risk/higher-reward middle-market bets. Both pay dividends, but Greif has lower leverage.
  • Brookfield Asset Management (BAM): Brookfield's alternative asset management model includes industrial holdings but at a vastly larger scale ($15B+ EBITDA). Its infrastructure focus differs from CODI's niche manufacturing/consumer bets, and its 3.9% yield is more sustainable given diversified cash flows.
  • Kaman Corporation (KAMN): Like CODI, Kaman targets aerospace/industrial niches but with more engineering depth. Its recent privatization highlights challenges CODI faces—conglomerates often trade below sum-of-parts value. Kaman lacked CODI's acquisition-driven growth model.
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