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Intrinsic Value of Warrior Met Coal (HCC)

Previous Close$62.51
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$62.51

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-06-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %64.2NaN
Revenue, $1739NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m937NaN
Operating income, $m801NaN
EBITDA, $m922NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m783NaN
Tax expense, $m142NaN
Net income, $m641NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m838NaN
Total assets, $m2028NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m1190NaN
Average production assets, $m762NaN
Working capital, $m1020NaN
Total debt, $m363NaN
Total liabilities, $m581NaN
Total equity, $m1448NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.251NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.532NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m641NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m120NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m842NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-205NaN
Free cash flow, $m1047NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m1020
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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