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Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (HWBK)

Previous Close
$29.14
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
High
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)826.392736
Intrinsic value (DCF)234.20704
Graham-Dodd Method23.59-19
Graham Formula111.50283

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Hawthorn Bancshares, Inc. (NASDAQ: HWBK) is a regional bank holding company operating through its subsidiary, Hawthorn Bank, providing a comprehensive suite of commercial and personal banking services. Founded in 1865 and headquartered in Jefferson City, Missouri, the company serves communities across Missouri, including Jefferson City, Columbia, Clinton, and the greater Kansas City metropolitan area, through 23 banking offices. Hawthorn Bancshares offers deposit products such as checking, savings, and certificates of deposit, alongside a diversified loan portfolio including commercial real estate, SBA loans, and consumer lending. Additionally, the bank provides trust and wealth management services, cash management, and digital banking solutions. With a market capitalization of approximately $205 million, Hawthorn Bancshares plays a vital role in regional financial services, emphasizing community-focused banking and personalized customer relationships. Its longstanding presence and localized expertise position it as a trusted financial partner in its markets.

Investment Summary

Hawthorn Bancshares presents a stable investment opportunity within the regional banking sector, supported by its consistent profitability (net income of $18.3M in the latest period) and a conservative beta of 0.623, indicating lower volatility relative to the broader market. The company’s diluted EPS of $2.61 and dividend yield (based on a $0.76 annual dividend) may appeal to income-focused investors. However, risks include exposure to regional economic conditions and competitive pressures from larger banks. Its modest market cap and reliance on traditional banking revenue streams (e.g., net interest income) could limit growth scalability compared to peers with broader geographic or digital footprints. Investors should weigh its solid fundamentals against sector-wide challenges like rising interest rates and regulatory costs.

Competitive Analysis

Hawthorn Bancshares competes in the crowded regional banking space, differentiating itself through deep community ties and a localized service model. Its competitive advantage lies in its long-standing relationships with small businesses and retail customers in Missouri, where it operates as a trusted intermediary. The bank’s diversified loan portfolio (spanning commercial real estate, SBA loans, and consumer credit) mitigates concentration risk, while its trust and wealth management services add fee-based revenue streams. However, its regional focus limits geographic diversification, exposing it to localized economic downturns. Compared to larger regional peers, Hawthorn’s smaller scale may constrain technology investments, potentially hindering digital banking competitiveness. Its low-cost deposit base and efficient operations (evidenced by steady operating cash flow of $25.6M) support margins, but competition from national banks and fintechs poses ongoing challenges. The company’s ability to maintain niche expertise in agricultural and small-business lending could sustain its relevance, though consolidation trends in the industry may pressure standalone viability.

Major Competitors

  • First Merchants Corporation (FRME): First Merchants operates across the Midwest with a broader geographic footprint than Hawthorn, offering similar commercial and retail banking services. Its larger scale ($2.4B market cap) provides cost advantages and greater lending capacity. However, its less localized focus may dilute community bank appeal.
  • Simmons First National Corporation (SFNC): Simmons First National spans multiple states with a $2.5B market cap, leveraging acquisitions for growth. Its digital banking investments outpace Hawthorn’s, but its decentralized structure may lack Hawthorn’s hyper-local customer intimacy.
  • First Busey Corporation (BUSE): First Busey focuses on Illinois and Missouri, overlapping with Hawthorn’s markets. Its stronger capital ratios and mortgage banking segment diversify revenue, though Hawthorn’s tighter community integration may foster higher deposit loyalty.
  • Territorial Bancorp Inc. (TBNK): A smaller regional player like Hawthorn, Territorial emphasizes Hawaii-based retail banking. Its niche market shields it from direct competition but limits growth potential compared to Hawthorn’s Midwestern presence.
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