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Intrinsic Value of PACCAR Inc. (PCAR)

Previous Close$123.75
Intrinsic Value
Upside potential
Previous Close
$123.75

VALUATION INPUT DATA

This valuation is based on fiscal year data as of 2022-12-31 and quarterly data as of 2023-09-30.

  1. Annual
  2. Quarterly YoY
  3. Quarterly QoQ

Annual revenue growth rates, % (past and forecasted)

show cash flow forecast

FINANCIAL STATEMENTS FORECAST and PRESENT VALUE CALCULATION

Fiscal year(a)2023202420252026202720282029203020312032203320342035203620372038203920402041204220432044204520462047

INCOME STATEMENT

Revenue growth rate, %22.5NaN
Revenue, $28820NaN
Variable operating expenses, $mNaN
Fixed operating expenses, $mNaN
Total operating expenses, $m24919NaN
Operating income, $m3900NaN
EBITDA, $m4691NaN
Interest expense (income), $mNaN
Earnings before tax, $m3849NaN
Tax expense, $m837NaN
Net income, $m3012NaN

BALANCE SHEET

Cash and short-term investments, $m6305NaN
Total assets, $m33276NaN
Adjusted assets (=assets-cash), $m26970NaN
Average production assets, $m3499NaN
Working capital, $m14980NaN
Total debt, $m11472NaN
Total liabilities, $m20108NaN
Total equity, $m13167NaN
Debt-to-equity ratio0.871NaN
Adjusted equity ratio0.388NaN

CASH FLOW

Net income, $m3012NaN
Depreciation, amort., depletion, $m790NaN
Funds from operations, $mNaN
Change in working capital, $mNaN
Cash from operations, $m3027NaN
Maintenance CAPEX, $mNaN
New CAPEX, $mNaN
Total CAPEX, $m-703NaN
Free cash flow, $m3730NaN
Issuance/(repurchase) of shares, $mNaN
Retained Cash Flow, $mNaN
Pot'l extraordinary dividend, $m14980
Cash available for distribution, $mNaN
Discount rate, %NaN
PV of cash for distribution, $mNaN
Current shareholders' claim on cash, %NaN
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