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Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN)

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$111.17
Sector Valuation Confidence Level
Moderate
Valuation methodValue, $Upside, %
Artificial intelligence (AI)115.204
Intrinsic value (DCF)3.65-97
Graham-Dodd Method1.54-99
Graham Formula77.15-31

Strategic Investment Analysis

Company Overview

Wynn Resorts, Limited (NASDAQ: WYNN) is a premier developer and operator of luxury integrated resorts, renowned for its high-end gaming, hospitality, and entertainment offerings. Headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada, Wynn operates iconic properties such as Wynn Las Vegas, Encore Boston Harbor, Wynn Macau, and Wynn Palace in Cotai, Macau. The company's business model revolves around delivering world-class casino gaming, luxury accommodations, fine dining, retail, and entertainment experiences tailored to affluent customers. Wynn Resorts thrives in the competitive gambling and resorts sector, leveraging its brand reputation for opulence and superior service. With a strong presence in both the U.S. and Macau—two of the largest gaming markets—Wynn benefits from diversified revenue streams and a loyal customer base. The company’s strategic focus on high-margin premium gaming and non-gaming amenities positions it as a leader in the luxury segment of the consumer cyclical industry.

Investment Summary

Wynn Resorts presents an attractive investment opportunity due to its strong brand equity, premium positioning in the luxury gaming market, and recovery potential in Macau post-pandemic. However, risks include high leverage (total debt of ~$12.2B), exposure to regulatory changes in Macau, and cyclical sensitivity to economic downturns. The company’s solid operating cash flow (~$1.43B) and recent profitability (net income of ~$501M in FY2024) support its ability to service debt, but investors should monitor Macau’s regulatory environment and U.S. consumer spending trends. The dividend yield (~1.8% based on a $1/share payout) adds modest income appeal.

Competitive Analysis

Wynn Resorts differentiates itself through ultra-luxury integrated resorts that combine high-end gaming, five-star hospitality, and exclusive entertainment. Its competitive advantages include: (1) **Brand Prestige** – Wynn’s properties are synonymous with luxury, attracting high-net-worth customers willing to spend more per visit; (2) **Geographic Diversification** – Operations in Las Vegas, Macau, and Boston reduce reliance on any single market; (3) **Non-Gaming Revenue** – High-margin F&B, retail, and entertainment segments contribute ~50% of revenue, insulating against gaming volatility. However, Wynn faces intense competition in Macau from entrenched players like Sands China and in Las Vegas from Caesars and MGM. Its smaller scale (~$7.1B revenue) compared to MGM Resorts (~$16B) limits marketing and development firepower. The company’s focus on the premium segment mitigates pricing pressure but exposes it to macroeconomic headwinds affecting discretionary spending.

Major Competitors

  • Las Vegas Sands Corp. (LVS): Sands dominates Macau with its Venetian and Parisian properties, offering massive scale and convention space. However, it lacks a U.S. presence after selling its Vegas assets, making Wynn’s domestic operations a differentiator. Sands’ focus on mass-market gaming contrasts with Wynn’s luxury positioning.
  • MGM Resorts International (MGM): MGM is the largest U.S. casino operator, with a stronghold in Las Vegas (Bellagio, MGM Grand) and regional markets. Its broader mid-tier appeal contrasts with Wynn’s luxury niche. MGM’s digital betting arm (BetMGM) gives it an edge in online gaming, where Wynn has limited exposure.
  • Caesars Entertainment, Inc. (CZR): Caesars competes in Las Vegas (Caesars Palace, Harrah’s) and regional U.S. markets with a mass-market focus. Its loyalty program and scale are strengths, but it lacks Wynn’s high-end cachet. Caesars’ heavy debt load (~$12.7B) parallels Wynn’s leverage risks.
  • Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO): Melco is a Macau-centric competitor (City of Dreams, Studio City) with a similar luxury focus but weaker brand recognition than Wynn. Its lack of U.S. presence and reliance on Macau make it more vulnerable to regional regulatory shifts.
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