Valuation method | Value, $ | Upside, % |
---|---|---|
Artificial intelligence (AI) | 40.71 | -20 |
Intrinsic value (DCF) | 179.82 | 253 |
Graham-Dodd Method | n/a | |
Graham Formula | n/a |
Xometry, Inc. (NASDAQ: XMTR) is a leading on-demand manufacturing marketplace that connects buyers with suppliers of custom-manufactured parts and assemblies. Operating in the industrial machinery sector, Xometry leverages AI-driven instant quoting technology to streamline procurement for industries such as aerospace, automotive, medical, and robotics. The company offers a broad range of services, including CNC machining, 3D printing, sheet metal fabrication, and injection molding, under well-known brands like Sandvik and Mitsubishi Materials. Headquartered in Derwood, Maryland, Xometry serves a global clientele, enabling rapid prototyping and high-volume production through its digital platform. As a disruptor in traditional manufacturing supply chains, Xometry capitalizes on the growing demand for agile, digital-first manufacturing solutions. Its asset-light marketplace model positions it as a scalable player in the $260B+ custom manufacturing industry, with a focus on reducing lead times and costs for buyers while expanding opportunities for suppliers.
Xometry presents a high-growth opportunity in the digital manufacturing space, with its asset-light marketplace model showing scalability potential. However, investors should note persistent net losses (-$50.4M in latest FY) and negative operating cash flow (-$15.4M), though these are common for growth-stage tech platforms expanding market share. The company's 0.71 beta suggests lower volatility than the market, while its $1.65B market cap reflects investor confidence in its AI-powered platform disrupting traditional manufacturing procurement. Key risks include intense competition in the manufacturing-as-a-service sector, reliance on supplier network quality, and macroeconomic sensitivity in industrial end-markets. The lack of dividends aligns with its growth reinvestment strategy.
Xometry's competitive advantage stems from its two-sided digital marketplace that matches buyers with vetted manufacturing partners through proprietary AI quoting algorithms. This technology significantly reduces traditional RFQ timelines from days to minutes—a key differentiator in custom manufacturing. The platform's breadth of 15+ manufacturing processes and materials coverage creates a one-stop-shop advantage versus single-process competitors. Xometry's supplier network of 5,000+ partners provides scale flexibility that traditional machine shops cannot match. However, the company faces pricing pressure from overseas manufacturers and must continually invest in platform tech to maintain its quoting accuracy edge. Its marketplace model avoids capex burdens of owning production facilities but requires careful quality control across distributed suppliers. While Xometry leads in digital customer experience, it competes with both established manufacturing services bureaus and newer digital platforms on specialization depth in high-tolerance sectors like aerospace.